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Superligaen

Referee: J Karlsen

Midtjylland

U U S U S

2–0

Full-time

Aalborg

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Aalborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,7

4,3

Scored

2,2

3,0

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,89 xG 0,60

49% Possession 51%

16 Shots 15

7 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 6

2 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Midtjylland 8. · Aalborg 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Randers FC	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.4	6
2	FC Copenhagen	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.5	6
3	Aarhus	3	1	1	1	+3	+0.9	4
4	Nordsjaelland	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.1	4
5	Brondby	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.9	4
6	Silkeborg	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.6	3
7	Aalborg	2	1	0	1	-2	-0.9	3
8	Midtjylland	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.1	2
9	Viborg	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.6	1
10	Lyngby	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.5	1
11	Sonderjyske	3	0	1	2	-5	-2.5	1
12	Vejle	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	2	1	1	0	+4	+0.9	4
2	Nordsjaelland	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.1	4
3	Randers FC	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
4	FC Copenhagen	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
5	Aalborg	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
6	Brondby	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
7	Silkeborg	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.6	3
8	Viborg	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.6	1
9	Sonderjyske	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
10	Vejle	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.4	0
11	Lyngby	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.5	3
2	Randers FC	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.4	3
3	Midtjylland	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.1	2
4	Brondby	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.6	1
5	Lyngby	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
6	Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
7	Silkeborg	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
8	Vejle	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
9	Viborg	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
10	Aalborg	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.9	0
11	Sonderjyske	2	0	0	2	-5	-2.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.