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Super League

Referee: L Tschudi

Lugano

T S T S T

3–1

Full-time

Servette

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Servette

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 2/3 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

2,0

2,7

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,88 xG 0,81

58% Possession 42%

14 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugano 4. · Servette 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Servette	3	3	0	0	+4	-0.4	9
2	Sion	2	2	0	0	+5	+2.5	6
3	Zurich	2	2	0	0	+4	–	6
4	Lugano	2	2	0	0	+2	-1.5	6
5	St. Gallen	2	1	0	1	+3	–	3
6	Winterthur	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
7	Lausanne	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.4	3
8	Grasshoppers	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.3	1
9	Luzern	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.2	1
10	Basel	2	0	0	2	-2	+1.7	0
11	Yverdon	2	0	0	2	-3	–	0
12	Young Boys	3	0	0	3	-7	+0.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Servette	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.5	6
2	Sion	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.1	3
3	St. Gallen	1	1	0	0	+4	–	3
4	Zurich	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
5	Lausanne	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
6	Lugano	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
7	Winterthur	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
8	Grasshoppers	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.3	1
9	Basel	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.5	0
10	Luzern	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
11	Young Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
12	Yverdon	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
2	Lugano	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.5	3
3	Servette	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
4	Sion	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
5	Luzern	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
6	Yverdon	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
7	Basel	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
8	Grasshoppers	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
9	St. Gallen	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
10	Winterthur	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
11	Lausanne	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.1	0
12	Young Boys	2	0	0	2	-6	+0.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.