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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: E Bodding
Kongsvinger
T U T S U
1–3
Full-time
Stabaek
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kongsvinger Stabaek
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 23/26 matches
Win Ø 41%
39%
42%
Points per game
1,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
65%
77%
Both score Ø 65%
65%
65%
Average goals
3,5
3,9
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,8
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Kongsvinger 8. · Stabaek 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Valerenga 26 18 5 3 +43 59
2 Bryne 26 15 4 7 +17 49
3 Egersund 25 12 5 8 +3 41
4 Moss 25 12 4 9 +6 40
5 Raufoss 26 11 7 8 +2 40
6 Lyn 25 10 9 6 +16 39
7 Stabaek 26 11 6 9 +3 39
8 Kongsvinger 23 9 9 5 -3 36
9 Ranheim 26 8 9 9 +1 33
10 Start 26 9 6 11 -7 33
11 Sogndal 26 8 6 12 -2 30
12 Asane 26 7 7 12 -9 28
13 Aalesund 26 8 4 14 -11 28
14 Levanger 26 5 11 10 -2 26
15 Mjondalen 26 6 7 13 -14 25
16 Sandnes ULF 26 4 5 17 -43 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kongsvinger Stabaek
H. Holter 🟨
40′
45′
🟨 B. Diabate
Half-time 0–0
D. Lysgård 🔁
↦ H. Holter
46′
47′
O. Spiten-Nysæter 0–1
55′
O. Spiten-Nysæter 0–2
A. Güven 🔁
↦ L. Gerson
60′
1–2 J. Grundt
63′
70′
🔁 K. Pedersen
↦ O. Spiten-Nysæter
70′
🔁 J. Skjelvik
↦ O. Veum
M. Gjerstrøm 🔁
↦ E. Taylor
76′
79′
🔁 M. Dahlby
↦ T. Roberts
N. Williams 🔁
↦ L. Langrekken
85′
E. Nielsen 🔁
↦ A. Dybevik
85′
85′
🔁 H. Geelmuyden
↦ B. Diabaté
86′
🟨 M. Christensen
88′
R. Vinge 1–3
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Kongsvinger

41 A. Klemensson
10 L. Gerson
2 J. Nilsson
5 F. Holmé
27 A. Dybevik
6 H. Holter
14 L. Haren
20 J. Grundt
7 E. Taylor
22 L. Langrekken
32 O. Kapskarmo
Bench (8)
21 D. Lysgård
9 A. Güven
17 M. Gjerstrøm
11 N. Williams
19 E. Nielsen
12 M. Mbow
48 A. Sandstad
71 S. Ekerhaugen

Coach: J. Wennberg

Stabaek

1 S. Rossbach
4 N. Næss
15 O. Veum
29 K. Ekorness
11 N. Walstad
6 M. Christensen
14 T. Roberts
7 R. Vinge
27 W. Wendt
9 B. Diabaté
21 O. Spiten-Nysæter
Bench (8)
2 K. Pedersen
5 J. Skjelvik
8 M. Dahlby
10 H. Geelmuyden
12 L. Gunnerød
18 A. Bawa
23 M. Ulla
32 A. Victorio

Coach: B. Riise

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.