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Allsvenskan
Referee: F Klitte
Hammarby
U U S T S
2–0
Full-time
Djurgarden
S U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby Djurgarden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
1,2
3,5
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
0,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 54%
54%
54%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
58%
46%
Both score Ø 42%
38%
46%
Average goals
2,4
2,7
Scored
1,6
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

54% Possession 46%
9 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 7
4 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hammarby 2. · Djurgarden 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Malmo FF 27 17 7 3 +40 +22.1 58
2 Hammarby 26 14 5 7 +19 +5.9 47
3 Djurgarden 26 14 5 7 +10 +1.3 47
4 Mjallby 27 13 6 8 +8 +2.3 45
5 AIK 26 14 3 9 +0 +2.6 45
6 Hacken 27 12 6 9 +6 -7.6 42
7 Elfsborg 27 12 5 10 +8 +7.6 41
8 GAIS 27 12 5 10 +0 -3.7 41
9 Sirius 27 12 4 11 +5 +0.7 40
10 Brommapojkarna 26 8 9 9 -4 -1.2 33
11 Goteborg 26 7 9 10 -7 -6.1 30
12 Varnamo 27 6 9 12 -10 -6.4 27
13 Halmstad 27 8 3 16 -16 -6.1 27
14 Norrkoping 26 7 6 13 -21 -5.7 27
15 Kalmar 27 6 5 16 -22 -8.8 23
16 Vasteras SK 27 5 5 17 -16 +2.9 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hammarby Djurgarden
1–0 N. Besara
12′
2–0 N. Besara
S. Pinas
30′
37′
🟨 Besard Sabović
Half-time 2–0
53′
🟨 August Priske
59′
🔁 T. Gulliksen
↦ G. Wikheim
59′
🔁 D. Hümmet
↦ J. Une Larsson
59′
🔁 T. Nguen
↦ S. Haarala
I. Fofana 🔁
↦ J. Erabi
71′
S. Strand 🔁
↦ S. Pinas
76′
76′
🔁 M. Eriksson
↦ K. Kosugi
76′
🔁 V. Bergh
↦ M. Tenho
76′
🔁 H. Radetinac
↦ R. Schüller
85′
🔁 A. Ekdal
↦ B. Šabović
M. Fenger 🔁
↦ B. Touré
87′
91′
🟨 Haris Radetinac
Tesfaldet Tekie 🟨
93′
Simon Strand 🟨
96′
A. Lahdo 🔁
↦ T. Tekie
96′
97′
🟨 Tokmac Nguen
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Hammarby

4-2-3-1
1 W. Hahn G
2 H. Skoglund D
6 P. Vagić D
4 V. Eriksson D
30 S. Pinas D
5 T. Tekie M
8 F. Hammar M
11 O. Johansson Schellhas M
20 N. Besara M
28 B. Touré M
9 J. Erabi F
Bench (10)
17 I. Fofana
21 S. Strand
13 M. Fenger
40 A. Lahdo
19 S. Clemmensen
25 D. Blažević
22 M. Karlsson
31 J. Kanga
18 Montader Madjed
38 G. Elezaj

Coach: K. Hellberg

Djurgarden

3-4-3
35 J. Rinne G
5 M. Tenho D
3 M. Danielson D
4 J. Une Larsson D
18 A. Ståhl M
14 B. Šabović M
6 R. Schüller M
27 K. Kosugi M
29 S. Haarala F
26 A. Priske F
23 G. Wikheim F
Bench (12)
16 T. Gulliksen
11 D. Hümmet
20 T. Nguen
7 M. Eriksson
19 V. Bergh
9 H. Radetinac
8 A. Ekdal
17 P. Therkildsen
45 O. Jansson
15 O. Fallenius
22 P. Åslund
13 D. Stensson

Coach: K. Bergstrand

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Klitte · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.