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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: H Sletner
Stabaek
T S S T S
1–2
Full-time
Valerenga
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stabaek Valerenga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
2,0
2,5
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,5
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 57%
44%
70%
Points per game
1,6
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
78%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,9
3,9
Scored
2,0
2,8
Conceded
1,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Stabaek 5. · Valerenga 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Valerenga 27 19 5 3 +47 62
2 Bryne 27 16 4 7 +18 52
3 Moss 26 13 4 9 +10 43
4 Lyn 26 11 9 6 +17 42
5 Stabaek 27 12 6 9 +5 42
6 Egersund 26 12 5 9 -1 41
7 Raufoss 27 11 7 9 +1 40
8 Ranheim 27 9 9 9 +2 36
9 Kongsvinger 24 9 9 6 -5 36
10 Start 27 9 6 12 -9 33
11 Sogndal 27 8 7 12 -2 31
12 Aalesund 27 9 4 14 -9 31
13 Asane 27 7 7 13 -10 28
14 Levanger 27 5 11 11 -6 26
15 Mjondalen 27 6 8 13 -14 26
16 Sandnes ULF 27 4 5 18 -44 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stabaek Valerenga
O. Spiten-Nysaeter 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–1
46′
⚽ E. Hagen 0–1
S. Olderheim 🔁
↦ R. Vinge
46′
55′
🟨 A. Kjelsen
M. Dahlby 🔁
↦ O. Spiten-Nysæter
60′
A. Hoven 🔁
↦ O. Veum
60′
81′
🔁 M. Rijks
↦ M. Brajanac
81′
🔁 S. Sjøvold
↦ C. Borchgrevink
1–1 B. Diabaté ⚽
83′
85′
🔁 O. Kamara
↦ P. Strand
N. Walstad 🟨
86′
88′
⚽ H. Bjørdal 1–2
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Stabaek

1 S. Rossbach
4 N. Næss
15 O. Veum
29 K. Ekorness
11 N. Walstad
6 M. Christensen
14 T. Roberts
7 R. Vinge
27 W. Wendt
9 B. Diabaté
21 O. Spiten-Nysæter
Bench (9)
17 S. Olderheim
8 M. Dahlby
16 A. Hoven
2 K. Pedersen
5 J. Skjelvik
10 H. Geelmuyden
18 A. Bawa
23 M. Ulla
32 A. Victorio

Coach: B. Riise

Valerenga

21 M. Sjøeng
2 C. Borchgrevink
4 A. Kiil Olsen
3 A. Hammer Kjelsen
8 H. Bjørdal
24 P. Strand
55 S. Jarl
15 E. Hagen
29 F. Ambina
80 M. Brajanac
25 J. El Abdellaoui
Bench (8)
9 M. Rijks
22 S. Sjøvold
19 O. Kamara
5 N. Idumba
11 T. Usman
14 O. Obasi
77 L. Jarosinski
6 V. Hedenstad

Coach: G. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.