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Eliteserien
Referee: K Steen
Valerenga
U U T U U
3–1
Full-time
Stabaek
T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Stabaek
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,2
3,8
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 25%
31%
19%
Points per game
1,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
50%
69%
Both score Ø 79%
88%
69%
Average goals
3,1
3,5
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,4
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
20 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valerenga 9. · Stabaek 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 17 10 4 3 +19 34
2 Molde 17 10 3 4 +19 33
3 Lillestrom 17 9 4 4 +7 31
4 Kristiansund 17 9 2 6 +3 29
5 Rosenborg 17 8 4 5 +12 28
6 Viking 17 8 4 5 +0 28
7 Haugesund 17 7 4 6 +2 25
8 Stromsgodset 17 7 4 6 +0 25
9 Valerenga 16 5 8 3 +5 23
10 Odd 17 6 4 7 -8 22
11 Sandefjord 17 6 3 8 -9 21
12 Sarpsborg 08 17 5 5 7 -4 20
13 Tromso 17 3 6 8 -12 15
14 Mjondalen 17 2 7 8 -3 13
15 Stabaek 16 3 4 9 -14 13
16 Brann 17 2 4 11 -17 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valerenga Stabaek
1–0 A. Layouni
H. Bjørdal
14′
29′
🟨 Kornelius Hansen
Odin Thiago Holm 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
T. Christensen 🔁
↦ O. Holm
46′
46′
🔁 T. Lumanza
↦ K. Hansen
Tobias Christensen 🟨
48′
2–0 T. Christensen
H. Bjørdal
54′
3–0 T. Christensen
59′
61′
🔁 M. Bolly
↦ F. Azemi
H. Udahl 🔁
↦ V. Kjartansson
75′
S. Jatta 🔁
↦ A. Layouni
75′
75′
🔁 J. Moe
↦ K. Pedersen
75′
🔁 H. Shala
↦ P. Kirkevold
N. Thomsen 🔁
↦ H. Bjørdal
84′
84′
🔁 K. Kostadinov
↦ M. Solbakken
A. Mörfelt 🔁
↦ O. Sahraoui
87′
92′
M. Bolly 3–1
H. Geelmuyden
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Valerenga

4-3-3
1 K. Haug G
4 J. Nation D
5 L. Zuta D
22 I. Näsberg D
2 C. Borchgrevink D
7 F. Jensen M
8 H. Bjørdal M
15 O. Holm M
9 V. Kjartansson F
11 A. Layouni F
26 O. Sahraoui F
Bench (7)
17 T. Christensen
14 H. Udahl
19 S. Jatta
6 N. Thomsen
10 A. Mörfelt
21 M. Dyngeland
3 B. Skaret

Coach: D. Fagermo

Stabaek

4-4-2
12 M. Sandberg G
3 Y. Amankwah D
2 K. Pedersen D
27 N. Jenssen D
15 S. Ottesen D
16 M. Høyland M
11 K. Hansen M
10 M. Solbakken M
9 P. Kirkevold F
17 F. Azemi F
80 H. Geelmuyden M
Bench (9)
67 T. Lumanza
7 M. Bolly
18 J. Moe
8 H. Shala
24 K. Kostadinov
26 E. Jonassen
1 M. Ulla
4 S. Wangberg
25 U. Sabastine

Coach: E. Kjønø

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Steen · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.