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OBOS-ligaen

Referee: Ali Al-Hatem

Lillestrom

S S S S S

3–0

Full-time

Moss

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Moss

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,7

4,7

Scored

2,3

Conceded

0,3

2,3

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — OBOS-ligaen · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 63%

75%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

50%

75%

Both score Ø 38%

25%

50%

Average goals

2,3

4,8

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

0,5

2,8

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lillestrom 3. · Moss 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Egersund	4	4	0	0	+5	12
2	Kongsvinger	4	3	1	0	+11	10
3	Lillestrom	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Start	4	3	0	1	+3	9
5	Raufoss	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Aalesund	4	1	3	0	+1	6
7	Sogndal	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Odd	4	2	0	2	+0	6
9	Moss	4	2	0	2	-3	6
10	hodd	4	1	1	2	-2	4
11	Stabaek	4	1	1	2	-4	4
12	Lyn	4	1	0	3	+0	3
13	Ranheim	4	1	0	3	-5	3
14	Mjondalen	4	0	2	2	-2	2
15	Asane	4	0	2	2	-3	2
16	Skeid	4	0	0	4	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Moss	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Egersund	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Odd	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Raufoss	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Kongsvinger	2	1	1	0	+6	4
6	Lillestrom	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Sogndal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Start	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Aalesund	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Mjondalen	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Asane	2	0	1	1	-2	1
12	Stabaek	2	0	1	1	-3	1
13	Lyn	2	0	0	2	-2	0
14	hodd	2	0	0	2	-3	0
15	Ranheim	2	0	0	2	-4	0
16	Skeid	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Kongsvinger	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Start	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Egersund	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Aalesund	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	hodd	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Lyn	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Sogndal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Stabaek	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Ranheim	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Raufoss	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Asane	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Mjondalen	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Skeid	2	0	0	2	-2	0
15	Odd	2	0	0	2	-2	0
16	Moss	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.