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OBOS-ligaen

Referee: Ajdin Medic

Stabaek

T T U S S

0–3

Full-time

Lillestrom

T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stabaek Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,8

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — OBOS-ligaen · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,5

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Stabaek 7. · Lillestrom 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Start	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Egersund	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Kongsvinger	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Aalesund	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Raufoss	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Lillestrom	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Stabaek	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Lyn	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Moss	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Odd	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Mjondalen	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	hodd	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Asane	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Sogndal	2	0	0	2	-2	0
15	Skeid	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Ranheim	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Moss	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Raufoss	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Egersund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Start	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Odd	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Lillestrom	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Aalesund	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Mjondalen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Stabaek	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Kongsvinger	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Sogndal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Lyn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Skeid	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Asane	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	hodd	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Ranheim	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyn	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Start	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Egersund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Kongsvinger	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Aalesund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Stabaek	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Lillestrom	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Raufoss	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	hodd	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Asane	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Moss	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Mjondalen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Sogndal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Skeid	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Odd	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Ranheim	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.