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OBOS-ligaen

Referee: Ole-Alexander Ekeli Valen

hodd

T T S S T

3–1

Full-time

Odd

S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

hodd Odd

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,3

3,5

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — OBOS-ligaen · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 50%

43%

57%

Points per game

1,4

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

29%

57%

Both score Ø 57%

43%

71%

Average goals

2,0

2,9

Scored

0,9

1,7

Conceded

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match hodd 12. · Odd 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	8	6	2	0	+16	20
2	Start	8	4	2	2	+3	14
3	Kongsvinger	8	4	1	3	+7	13
4	Aalesund	7	3	4	0	+5	13
5	Odd	7	4	1	2	+4	13
6	Egersund	6	4	1	1	+4	13
7	Sogndal	7	4	0	3	+2	12
8	Raufoss	8	3	3	2	+0	12
9	Moss	8	4	0	4	-5	12
10	Stabaek	8	3	2	3	+0	11
11	Ranheim	7	3	1	3	-1	10
12	hodd	7	3	1	3	-2	10
13	Asane	7	1	3	3	-4	6
14	Lyn	8	1	1	6	-4	4
15	Skeid	8	0	2	6	-9	2
16	Mjondalen	8	0	2	6	-16	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Moss	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Odd	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Raufoss	5	3	1	1	+2	10
4	Lillestrom	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Aalesund	5	2	3	0	+4	9
6	Sogndal	4	3	0	1	+3	9
7	Kongsvinger	4	2	1	1	+5	7
8	Stabaek	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Egersund	2	2	0	0	+2	6
10	Start	4	2	0	2	+0	6
11	Ranheim	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	hodd	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Asane	3	0	2	1	-2	2
14	Lyn	4	0	1	3	-3	1
15	Skeid	3	0	1	2	-5	1
16	Mjondalen	4	0	1	3	-10	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	5	3	2	0	+10	11
2	Start	4	2	2	0	+3	8
3	Egersund	4	2	1	1	+2	7
4	hodd	4	2	1	1	+0	7
5	Kongsvinger	4	2	0	2	+2	6
6	Ranheim	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Aalesund	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Asane	4	1	1	2	-2	4
9	Stabaek	4	1	1	2	-2	4
10	Odd	3	1	0	2	+0	3
11	Lyn	4	1	0	3	-1	3
12	Sogndal	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Raufoss	3	0	2	1	-2	2
14	Skeid	5	0	1	4	-4	1
15	Mjondalen	4	0	1	3	-6	1
16	Moss	4	0	0	4	-12	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.