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LaLiga2
Referee: Eder Mallo
Zaragoza
T U S S T
1–0
Full-time
La Coruna
U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaragoza La Coruna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 40/40 matches
Win Ø 32%
30%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
58%
48%
Both score Ø 63%
65%
60%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

33% Possession 67%
11 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 6
4 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zaragoza 18. · La Coruna 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Levante 40 20 13 7 +25 73
2 Elche 40 20 11 9 +19 71
3 Mirandes 40 21 8 11 +17 71
4 Oviedo 40 19 12 9 +12 69
5 Santander 40 19 10 11 +13 67
6 Almeria 40 18 11 11 +15 65
7 Granada 40 17 11 12 +11 62
8 Huesca 40 17 10 13 +12 61
9 Albacete 41 15 12 14 +0 57
10 Eibar 40 14 13 13 +1 55
11 Cordoba 40 14 12 14 -1 54
12 Burgos 40 15 9 16 -6 54
13 La Coruna 40 13 14 13 +7 53
14 Cadiz 40 13 13 14 -1 52
15 Malaga 40 12 16 12 -2 52
16 Castellon 40 13 11 16 +0 50
17 Sp Gijon 40 12 14 14 +0 50
18 Zaragoza 40 12 12 16 -5 48
19 Eldense 40 11 11 18 -18 44
20 Tenerife 40 8 12 20 -17 36
21 Ferrol 41 6 12 23 -40 30
22 Cartagena 40 6 5 29 -42 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zaragoza La Coruna
14′
🟨 Jaime Sánchez
Malcom Ares 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–0
Enrique Clemente 🔁
↦ Dani Tasende
46′
Pau Sans 🟨
50′
0–1 C. Patino
own goal
56′
63′
🔁 Sergio Escudero
↦ Adrián Guerrero
63′
🔁 Yeremay Hernández
↦ Rafael Obrador
Mario Soberón 🔁
↦ Dani Gómez
65′
Adrian Liso 🔁
↦ Adu Ares
65′
Mario Soberón 🟨
68′
Marcos Luna 🟨
73′
75′
🔁 Kevin Sánchez
↦ M. Bouldini
75′
🔁 Cristian Herrera
↦ Diego Gómez
Iván Calero 🔁
↦ Marcos Luna
77′
83′
🔁 N. Tosic
↦ Jaime Sánchez
86′
🔁 J. Gauto
↦ C. Patino
Toni Moya 🔁
↦ Raúl Guti
88′
S. Baždar 🔁
↦ Pau Sans
89′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Zaragoza

4-2-3-1
13 G. Poussin G
2 Marcos Luna D
15 Bernardo Vital D
3 Jair Amador D
4 Dani Tasende D
14 Francho Serrano M
16 K. Arriaga M
29 Pau Sans M
10 Raúl Guti M
20 Adu Ares M
9 Dani Gómez F
Bench (12)
5 Enrique Clemente
7 Mario Soberón
33 Adrian Liso
19 Iván Calero
21 Toni Moya
11 S. Baždar
25 Joan Femenías
22 Alberto Marí
12 S. Kóša
17 Carlos Nieto
34 Lucas Terrer
23 Ager Aketxe

Coach: Gabi

La Coruna

4-4-2
1 Germán Parreño G
6 Álex Petxa D
15 Pablo Vázquez D
19 Jaime Sánchez D
33 Rafael Obrador D
30 Adrián Guerrero M
8 Diego Villares M
28 C. Patino M
7 Diego Gómez M
24 M. Bouldini F
21 Mario Soriano F
Bench (12)
18 Sergio Escudero
10 Yeremay Hernández
32 Kevin Sánchez
14 Cristian Herrera
11 N. Tosic
16 J. Gauto
12 O. Mfulu
4 P. Martínez
38 Mardones
26 Alberto Sánchez
25 Helton Leite
2 D. Genreau

Coach: Óscar Gilsanz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,48
U
4,28
B
6,16
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,76
U2,5 ✓
2,01
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Eder Mallo · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.