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Super League
Referee: S Zabalas
Aris Thessalonikis
U U S S U
1–0
Full-time
Panetolikos
U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis Panetolikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,7
Scored
1,8
0,7
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,3
This season — Super League · 14/16 matches
Win Ø 37%
43%
31%
Points per game
1,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
43%
38%
Both score Ø 43%
36%
50%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%
20 Shots 4
8 Shots on target 0
6 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 2
7 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 7. · Panetolikos 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Panathinaikos 16 13 3 0 +21 42
2 AEK 16 12 2 2 +27 38
3 PAOK 16 8 6 2 +11 30
4 Olympiakos 16 8 5 3 +14 29
5 Volos NFC 16 8 4 4 +0 28
6 Aris 15 7 4 4 +10 25
7 Aris Thessalonikis 14 6 4 4 +9 22
8 Atromitos 16 5 5 6 +0 20
9 Panetolikos 16 5 4 7 +0 19
10 Asteras Tripolis 16 2 8 6 -10 14
11 OFI Crete 16 2 6 8 -12 12
12 Levadeiakos 17 2 6 9 -12 12
13 Giannina 15 2 4 9 -20 10
14 Lamia 15 1 6 8 -22 9
15 Ionikos 16 1 5 10 -16 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. Aug -22 Panetolikos – Aris Thessalonikis 3–1 30. Jan -22 Panetolikos – Aris Thessalonikis 0–2 24. Oct -21 Aris Thessalonikis – Panetolikos 5–1 14. Feb -21 Aris Thessalonikis – Panetolikos 0–0 22. Nov -20 Panetolikos – Aris Thessalonikis 0–1

Match report

Aris Thessalonikis Panetolikos
Andre Gray ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
23′
27′
🟨 Dimitrios Kolovos
45′
🟨 Deybi Flores
Half-time 1–0
1–0 A. Gray ⚽
D. Mancini
52′
68′
🟨 Johan Martensson
69′
🔁 L. Shengelia
↦ J. Mårtensson
B. Dabo 🔁
↦ D. Mancini
72′
75′
🔁 João Pedro
↦ N. Dago
76′
🔁 G. Xenitidis
↦ D. Kolovos
J. Iturbe 🔁
↦ Manu García
80′
Oghenekaro Etebo 🟨
86′
90′
🟨 Nikolaos Karelis
S. M'Bakata 🔁
↦ L. Palma
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Aris Thessalonikis

4-3-3
23 Julián G
22 M. Odubajo D
4 Fabiano D
14 J. Brabec D
43 M. Peersman D
10 M. García M
13 O. Etebo M
19 Manu García M
7 D. Mancini F
9 A. Gray F
17 L. Palma F
Bench (9)
6 B. Dabo
11 J. Iturbe
2 S. M'Bakata
15 E. Rodríguez
8 C. Doukouré
88 R. Sgouros
99 M. Siampanis
64 Rafael Camacho
18 B. Mazikou

Coach: A. Pardew

Panetolikos

4-3-3
1 G. Anestis G
54 G. Liavas D
16 J. Une-Larsson D
5 S. Mladen D
3 D. Houhoumis D
11 J. Díaz M
17 J. Mårtensson M
20 D. Flores M
10 N. Dago F
7 N. Karelis F
22 D. Kolovos F
Bench (9)
27 L. Shengelia
9 João Pedro
23 G. Xenitidis
2 K. Apostolakis
99 V. Kontogiannis
37 A. Tsingaras
47 A. Malis
55 P. Anastasopoulos
77 V. Nikolaou

Coach: Y. Anastasiou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Zabalas · 29 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
30,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.