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Super League
Referee: C Vergetis
Panetolikos
T U T U U
0–1
Full-time
Panathinaikos
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panetolikos Panathinaikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,5
This season — Super League · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 63%
33%
92%
Points per game
1,3
2,8
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
42%
33%
Both score Ø 46%
58%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

33% Possession 67%
5 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 6
0 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panetolikos 8. · Panathinaikos 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Panathinaikos 12 11 1 0 +18 34
2 AEK 12 9 1 2 +17 28
3 Volos NFC 12 7 3 2 +6 24
4 Olympiakos 12 6 3 3 +8 21
5 PAOK 12 5 5 2 +3 20
6 Aris Thessalonikis 12 5 3 4 +5 18
7 Aris 12 5 3 4 +5 18
8 Panetolikos 12 4 4 4 +2 16
9 Atromitos 12 3 4 5 -1 13
10 Asteras Tripolis 12 1 7 4 -4 10
11 Giannina 11 2 3 6 -11 9
12 Lamia 13 1 6 6 -17 9
13 OFI Crete 12 1 5 6 -9 8
14 Ionikos 12 1 4 7 -11 7
15 Levadeiakos 12 1 4 7 -11 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panetolikos Panathinaikos
44′
🟨 Bernard
Sebastian Mladen 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
Deybi Flores 🟨
60′
N. Dago 🔁
↦ L. Shengelia
61′
71′
🟨 Rubén Pérez
D. Kolovos 🔁
↦ J. Díaz
75′
J. Mårtensson 🔁
↦ S. Mladen
76′
D. Houhoumis 🔁
↦ I. Chatzitheodoridis
76′
76′
🔁 G. Vagiannidis
↦ D. Kourbelis
76′
🔁 F. Ioannidis
↦ B. Verbič
78′
F. Ioannidis 0–1
N. Karelis 🔁
↦ J. Morsay
84′
85′
🔁 E. Çokaj
↦ A. Šporar
88′
🟨 Adam Gnezda Čerin
91′
🔁 C. Ganea
↦ Juan Carlos
91′
🔁 Z. Šarlija
↦ Bernard
Konstantinos Apostolakis 🟨
92′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Panetolikos

4-3-3
1 G. Anestis G
2 K. Apostolakis D
16 J. Une-Larsson D
13 D. Cornelius D
12 I. Chatzitheodoridis D
20 D. Flores M
5 S. Mladen M
11 J. Díaz M
25 J. Morsay F
9 João Pedro F
27 L. Shengelia F
Bench (9)
10 N. Dago
22 D. Kolovos
17 J. Mårtensson
3 D. Houhoumis
7 N. Karelis
23 G. Xenitidis
6 M. Bakakis
32 A. Stergiakis
54 G. Liavas

Coach: Y. Anastasiou

Panathinaikos

4-2-3-1
91 A. Brignoli G
27 G. Kotsiras D
5 B. Schenkeveld D
23 H. Magnússon D
3 Juan Carlos D
21 D. Kourbelis M
4 Rubén Pérez M
10 Bernard M
16 A. Čerin M
77 B. Verbič M
9 A. Šporar F
Bench (9)
2 G. Vagiannidis
7 F. Ioannidis
18 E. Çokaj
11 C. Ganea
31 Z. Šarlija
99 A. Kampetsis
14 F. Sánchez
12 Y. Lodygin
57 António Xavier

Coach: I. Jovanović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,27
U
3,65
B ✓
1,65
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,09
U2,5 ✓
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Vergetis · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
30,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.