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Eliteserien
Referee: Tom Harald Hagen
Stabaek
S U T U S
1–1
Full-time
Sogndal
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stabaek Sogndal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,8
This season — Eliteserien · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 31%
36%
25%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
68%
57%
Both score Ø 56%
61%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
1,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

80% Possession 20%
15 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 1
0 Offside 3
6 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stabaek 8. · Sogndal 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 28 17 7 4 +36 58
2 Molde 28 15 5 8 +14 50
3 Sarpsborg 08 28 12 11 5 +13 47
4 Stromsgodset 28 13 8 7 +8 47
5 Brann 28 13 7 8 +16 46
6 Haugesund 28 11 6 11 -1 39
7 Odd 28 11 6 11 -11 39
8 Stabaek 28 10 8 10 -2 38
9 Valerenga 28 10 6 12 +3 36
10 Sandefjord 28 11 3 14 -10 36
11 Kristiansund 28 8 10 10 -4 34
12 Lillestrom 28 9 7 12 -4 34
13 Tromso 28 9 7 12 -9 34
14 Aalesund 28 7 8 13 -12 29
15 Sogndal 28 7 7 14 -13 28
16 Viking 28 5 6 17 -24 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stabaek Sogndal
25′
🟨 Eirik Birkelund
1–0 O. Brynhildsen
T. Lumanza
30′
35′
🟨 Matias Dyngeland
Half-time 1–0
55′
🔁 J. Soltvedt
↦ B. Utvik
56′
J. Soltvedt 1–1
S. Mandić
M. Njie 🔁
↦ O. Brynhildsen
63′
78′
🔁 M. Brændsrød
↦ M. Ramsland
83′
🟨 Staniša Mandić
R. Rubin 🔁
↦ T. Brochmann
87′
87′
🔁 E. Skaasheim
↦ S. Mandić
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Stabaek

4-2-3-1
22 J. Alvbåge G
3 M. Skjønsberg D
16 A. Hanche-Olsen D
2 R. Hernández D
18 J. Moe D
89 T. Brochmann M
67 T. Lumanza M
8 J. Sæter M
30 O. Brynhildsen M
99 O. Omoijuanfo F
10 F. Boli F
Bench (7)
11 M. Njie
20 R. Rubin
77 Hongliang Tao
1 M. Sayouba
6 H. Skogseid
7 R. Gyasi
21 D. Granli

Coach: Toni Ordinas

Sogndal

3-5-2
1 M. Dyngeland G
41 K. Wæhler D
2 T. Teniste D
40 E. Hovland D
14 O. Rindarøy M
3 B. Utvik D
15 P. Steiring D
27 E. Birkelund M
7 E. Schulze F
77 S. Mandić F
11 M. Ramsland F
Bench (7)
30 J. Soltvedt
20 M. Brændsrød
24 E. Skaasheim
10 G. Koomson
13 T. Omenås
17 C. Psyché
18 B. Bye

Coach: E. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tom Harald Hagen · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.