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Süper Lig

Referee: Mustafa Ogretmenoglu

Yeni Malatyaspor

U U S S U

1–3

Full-time

Erzurumspor

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Yeni Malatyaspor Erzurumspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,8

0,5

Conceded

0,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,8

This season — Süper Lig · 13/14 matches

Win Ø 26%

38%

14%

Points per game

1,5

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 51%

38%

64%

Both score Ø 56%

54%

57%

Average goals

2,4

2,8

Scored

1,3

0,9

Conceded

1,1

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%

14 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 3

0 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 24

3 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Yeni Malatyaspor 8. · Erzurumspor 21. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Galatasaray	14	9	2	3	+15	29
2	Alanyaspor	15	8	3	4	+12	27
3	Gaziantep	14	7	6	1	+11	27
4	Fenerbahce	14	8	2	4	+7	26
5	Besiktas	13	8	1	4	+7	25
6	Karagumruk	14	5	6	3	+6	21
7	Hatayspor	13	6	3	4	-2	21
8	Yeni Malatyaspor	13	5	5	3	+3	20
9	Trabzonspor	15	5	5	5	-3	20
10	Goztep	15	4	7	4	+3	19
11	Konyaspor	13	5	3	5	+4	18
12	Rizespor	13	5	3	5	-2	18
13	Kasimpasa	14	5	3	6	-5	18
14	Sivasspor	13	4	5	4	+0	17
15	Antalyaspor	14	4	5	5	-3	17
16	Buyuksehyr	13	4	3	6	-3	15
17	Ankaragücü	14	3	3	8	-6	12
18	Denizlispor	14	3	3	8	-10	12
19	Genclerbirligi	13	3	3	7	-10	12
20	Kayserispor	13	2	4	7	-9	10
21	Erzurumspor	14	2	3	9	-15	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	7	5	2	0	+12	17
2	Karagumruk	7	5	2	0	+11	17
3	Gaziantep	7	4	3	0	+7	15
4	Hatayspor	7	4	2	1	+7	14
5	Galatasaray	7	4	2	1	+7	14
6	Yeni Malatyaspor	6	4	2	0	+6	14
7	Kasimpasa	7	4	2	1	+2	14
8	Besiktas	6	4	1	1	+8	13
9	Antalyaspor	7	4	1	2	+3	13
10	Rizespor	7	4	1	2	+0	13
11	Goztep	8	3	3	2	+5	12
12	Konyaspor	6	3	1	2	+4	10
13	Fenerbahce	7	3	1	3	+0	10
14	Trabzonspor	8	3	1	4	-3	10
15	Buyuksehyr	6	2	2	2	+2	8
16	Ankaragücü	7	2	1	4	-1	7
17	Genclerbirligi	6	1	3	2	-4	6
18	Denizlispor	7	1	2	4	-4	5
19	Sivasspor	7	1	2	4	-4	5
20	Kayserispor	7	1	2	4	-5	5
21	Erzurumspor	7	0	3	4	-4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	7	5	1	1	+7	16
2	Galatasaray	7	5	0	2	+8	15
3	Gaziantep	7	3	3	1	+4	12
4	Sivasspor	6	3	3	0	+4	12
5	Besiktas	7	4	0	3	-1	12
6	Alanyaspor	8	3	1	4	+0	10
7	Trabzonspor	7	2	4	1	+0	10
8	Konyaspor	7	2	2	3	+0	8
9	Goztep	7	1	4	2	-2	7
10	Buyuksehyr	7	2	1	4	-5	7
11	Denizlispor	7	2	1	4	-6	7
12	Hatayspor	6	2	1	3	-9	7
13	Yeni Malatyaspor	7	1	3	3	-3	6
14	Genclerbirligi	7	2	0	5	-6	6
15	Erzurumspor	7	2	0	5	-11	6
16	Rizespor	6	1	2	3	-2	5
17	Kayserispor	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	Ankaragücü	7	1	2	4	-5	5
19	Karagumruk	7	0	4	3	-5	4
20	Antalyaspor	7	0	4	3	-6	4
21	Kasimpasa	7	1	1	5	-7	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.