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Pro League
Mechelen
U T T T S
2–1
Full-time
Mouscron
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Mouscron
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,8
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 17/18 matches
Win Ø 26%
29%
22%
Points per game
1,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
76%
39%
Both score Ø 60%
76%
44%
Average goals
3,6
2,4
Scored
1,6
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

10 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 6
5 Corners 3
8 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 15. · Mouscron 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 18 10 7 1 +19 37
2 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 22 10 6 6 +7 36
3 Antwerp 18 10 5 3 +14 35
4 Club Brugge 18 10 4 4 +23 34
5 Charleroi 21 10 4 7 +6 34
6 Beerschot VA 19 10 1 8 -1 31
7 Anderlecht 18 7 9 2 +11 30
8 Kortrijk 21 8 5 8 -2 29
9 Gent 19 9 1 9 +7 28
10 Waregem 20 8 3 9 -5 27
11 Standard 18 6 6 6 +1 24
12 Eupen 18 5 9 4 -4 24
13 Oostende 17 6 4 7 +2 22
14 Cercle Brugge 20 7 0 13 -7 21
15 Mechelen 17 5 4 8 -7 19
16 Waasland-Beveren 19 5 4 10 -14 19
17 Beveren 19 5 4 10 -14 19
18 St Truiden 20 4 6 10 -10 18
19 Mouscron 18 4 5 9 -13 17
20 Royal Excel Mouscron 18 4 5 9 -13 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,58
U
4,08
B
5,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,76
U2,5
2,04
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.