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Süper Lig

Referee: Huseyin Gocek

Erzurumspor

U T T T T

1–2

Full-time

Denizlispor

T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Erzurumspor Denizlispor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

0,3

1,0

Conceded

2,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,8

-0,8

This season — Süper Lig · 13/12 matches

Win Ø 16%

15%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

62%

42%

Both score Ø 48%

54%

42%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

0,8

0,9

Conceded

1,9

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,1

-0,8

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

68% Possession 32%

13 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

12 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Erzurumspor 21. · Denizlispor 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	14	8	3	3	+14	27
2	Galatasaray	13	8	2	3	+13	26
3	Fenerbahce	13	7	2	4	+4	23
4	Besiktas	12	7	1	4	+6	22
5	Gaziantep	12	5	6	1	+5	21
6	Hatayspor	13	6	3	4	-2	21
7	Karagumruk	13	5	5	3	+6	20
8	Yeni Malatyaspor	13	5	5	3	+3	20
9	Trabzonspor	14	5	5	4	-1	20
10	Goztep	14	4	6	4	+3	18
11	Kasimpasa	13	5	3	5	-1	18
12	Antalyaspor	13	4	5	4	-2	17
13	Konyaspor	12	4	3	5	+3	15
14	Buyuksehyr	12	4	3	5	+0	15
15	Rizespor	12	4	3	5	-3	15
16	Sivasspor	12	3	5	4	-2	14
17	Genclerbirligi	12	3	3	6	-8	12
18	Kayserispor	12	2	4	6	-8	10
19	Ankaragücü	12	2	3	7	-6	9
20	Denizlispor	12	2	3	7	-10	9
21	Erzurumspor	13	2	3	8	-14	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	7	5	2	0	+12	17
2	Karagumruk	7	5	2	0	+11	17
3	Hatayspor	7	4	2	1	+7	14
4	Galatasaray	7	4	2	1	+7	14
5	Kasimpasa	6	4	2	0	+6	14
6	Yeni Malatyaspor	6	4	2	0	+6	14
7	Besiktas	6	4	1	1	+8	13
8	Antalyaspor	7	4	1	2	+3	13
9	Gaziantep	6	3	3	0	+5	12
10	Goztep	7	3	2	2	+5	11
11	Konyaspor	6	3	1	2	+4	10
12	Rizespor	6	3	1	2	-1	10
13	Trabzonspor	7	3	1	3	-1	10
14	Buyuksehyr	6	2	2	2	+2	8
15	Ankaragücü	6	2	1	3	+0	7
16	Fenerbahce	6	2	1	3	-3	7
17	Genclerbirligi	6	1	3	2	-4	6
18	Denizlispor	6	1	2	3	-3	5
19	Kayserispor	6	1	2	3	-4	5
20	Erzurumspor	6	0	3	3	-3	3
21	Sivasspor	6	0	2	4	-6	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	7	5	1	1	+7	16
2	Galatasaray	6	4	0	2	+6	12
3	Sivasspor	6	3	3	0	+4	12
4	Alanyaspor	7	3	1	3	+2	10
5	Trabzonspor	7	2	4	1	+0	10
6	Gaziantep	6	2	3	1	+0	9
7	Besiktas	6	3	0	3	-2	9
8	Buyuksehyr	6	2	1	3	-2	7
9	Goztep	7	1	4	2	-2	7
10	Hatayspor	6	2	1	3	-9	7
11	Yeni Malatyaspor	7	1	3	3	-3	6
12	Genclerbirligi	6	2	0	4	-4	6
13	Erzurumspor	7	2	0	5	-11	6
14	Konyaspor	6	1	2	3	-1	5
15	Rizespor	6	1	2	3	-2	5
16	Kayserispor	6	1	2	3	-4	5
17	Antalyaspor	6	0	4	2	-5	4
18	Denizlispor	6	1	1	4	-7	4
19	Kasimpasa	7	1	1	5	-7	4
20	Karagumruk	6	0	3	3	-5	3
21	Ankaragücü	6	0	2	4	-6	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.