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Primeira Liga

Referee: Rui Costa

Belenenses

U U U S T

1–2

Full-time

Sp Lisbon

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Belenenses Sp Lisbon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

1,0

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,3

3,3

Scored

0,5

2,7

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+2,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 50%

20%

80%

Points per game

1,1

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

20%

70%

Both score Ø 40%

30%

50%

Average goals

1,2

3,1

Scored

0,5

2,4

Conceded

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

42% Possession 58%

10 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 3

3 Offside 1

27 Free kicks against 16

4 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Belenenses 10. · Sp Lisbon 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	10	8	2	0	+17	26
2	Benfica	10	8	0	2	+12	24
3	Porto	10	7	1	2	+12	22
4	Sp Braga	10	7	0	3	+8	21
5	Guimaraes	10	6	1	3	+4	19
6	Pacos Ferreira	11	4	4	3	+1	16
7	Nacional	11	3	4	4	-2	13
8	Santa Clara	10	4	1	5	-3	13
9	Gil Vicente	11	3	3	5	-3	12
10	Belenenses	10	2	5	3	-2	11
11	Rio Ave	10	2	5	3	-5	11
12	Famalicao	11	2	5	4	-6	11
13	Moreirense	10	2	4	4	-3	10
14	Maritimo	10	3	1	6	-4	10
15	Farense	11	2	3	6	-4	9
16	Boavista	10	1	6	3	-5	9
17	Tondela	11	2	3	6	-11	9
18	Portimonense	10	2	2	6	-6	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	6	5	0	1	+7	15
2	Sp Lisbon	5	4	1	0	+8	13
3	Benfica	5	4	0	1	+5	12
4	Sp Braga	5	4	0	1	+5	12
5	Pacos Ferreira	5	3	1	1	+2	10
6	Nacional	6	2	3	1	+1	9
7	Moreirense	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Farense	6	2	2	2	+1	8
9	Tondela	6	2	2	2	-3	8
10	Gil Vicente	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Maritimo	5	2	1	2	+0	7
12	Belenenses	5	1	3	1	+0	6
13	Famalicao	6	1	3	2	-4	6
14	Guimaraes	5	2	0	3	-4	6
15	Rio Ave	4	1	2	1	-1	5
16	Portimonense	5	1	2	2	-2	5
17	Boavista	4	1	1	2	-3	4
18	Santa Clara	5	1	1	3	-4	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	5	4	1	0	+9	13
2	Guimaraes	5	4	1	0	+8	13
3	Benfica	5	4	0	1	+7	12
4	Sp Braga	5	3	0	2	+3	9
5	Santa Clara	5	3	0	2	+1	9
6	Porto	4	2	1	1	+5	7
7	Pacos Ferreira	6	1	3	2	-1	6
8	Rio Ave	6	1	3	2	-4	6
9	Boavista	6	0	5	1	-2	5
10	Famalicao	5	1	2	2	-2	5
11	Belenenses	5	1	2	2	-2	5
12	Gil Vicente	6	1	2	3	-3	5
13	Nacional	5	1	1	3	-3	4
14	Maritimo	5	1	0	4	-4	3
15	Portimonense	5	1	0	4	-4	3
16	Moreirense	5	0	2	3	-5	2
17	Farense	5	0	1	4	-5	1
18	Tondela	5	0	1	4	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.