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Ligue 1
Referee: A Gautier
Metz
T U S S T
0–0
Full-time
Bordeaux
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Bordeaux
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 35%
35%
35%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
24%
47%
Both score Ø 41%
47%
35%
Average goals
2,1
2,2
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
9 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 20
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Metz 10. · Bordeaux 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lyon 17 10 6 1 +20 36
2 Lille 17 10 6 1 +19 36
3 Paris SG 17 11 2 4 +29 35
4 Rennes 17 9 4 4 +7 31
5 Marseille 15 8 4 3 +7 28
6 Monaco 17 8 3 6 +3 27
7 Lens 16 8 3 5 +2 27
8 Montpellier 17 8 3 6 +1 27
9 Angers 17 8 3 6 -3 27
10 Metz 17 6 5 6 +2 23
11 Brest 17 7 2 8 -3 23
12 Nice 16 6 4 6 -1 22
13 Bordeaux 17 6 4 7 -2 22
14 St Etienne 17 4 6 7 -7 18
15 Reims 17 4 5 8 -4 17
16 Nantes 17 3 6 8 -12 15
17 Strasbourg 17 4 2 11 -10 14
18 Lorient 17 3 3 11 -14 12
19 Dijon 17 2 6 9 -14 12
20 Nimes 17 3 3 11 -20 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Metz Bordeaux
20′
🟨 Yacine Adli
26′
🟨 Pablo Nascimento Castro
Aaron Leya Iseka 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–0
56′
🔁 M. Zerkane
↦ Y. Adli
56′
🔁 L. Koscielny
↦ Pablo
Vágner 🔁
↦ M. Gueye
61′
T. Ambrose 🔁
↦ A. Leya
61′
W. Tchimbembé 🔁
↦ Y. Maziz
61′
70′
🔁 J. Briand
↦ J. Maja
71′
🔁 N. de Préville
↦ Hwang Ui-jo
71′
🔁 S. Kalu
↦ R. Oudin
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Metz

5-4-1
16 A. Oukidja G
21 J. Boye D
17 T. Delaine D
2 D. Bronn D
18 F. Centonze D
23 B. Kouyaté D
5 V. Angban M
19 H. Maïga M
22 Y. Maziz M
24 A. Leya F
13 M. Gueye M
Bench (9)
27 Vágner
9 T. Ambrose
12 W. Tchimbembé
30 M. Caillard
8 B. Traoré
6 M. Fofana
15 P. Sarr
26 P. Yade
20 E. Boahene

Coach: F. Antonetti

Bordeaux

4-2-3-1
1 B. Costil G
24 P. Baysse D
23 L. Benito D
3 Pablo D
20 Y. Sabaly D
5 Otávio M
26 T. Bašić M
19 Y. Adli M
18 Hwang Ui-jo M
28 R. Oudin M
9 J. Maja F
Bench (9)
17 M. Zerkane
6 L. Koscielny
7 J. Briand
12 N. de Préville
10 S. Kalu
25 E. Kwateng
16 G. Poussin
31 A. Traore
32 D. Bakwa

Coach: J. Gasset

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,65
U ✓
3,09
B
2,87
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,36
U2,5 ✓
1,59
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Gautier · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.