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2. Bundesliga
1–1
Full-time
St Pauli
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wurzburger Kickers St Pauli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
2,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 8%
8%
8%
Points per game
0,3
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 77%
77%
77%
Both score Ø 66%
69%
62%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
2,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,4
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

11 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 3
2 Corners 5
19 Free kicks against 22
2 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Wurzburger Kickers 18. · St Pauli 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 14 9 2 3 +12 29
2 Holstein Kiel 14 8 4 2 +10 28
3 Greuther Furth 14 8 3 3 +11 27
4 Bochum 14 8 2 4 +11 26
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 14 8 2 4 +2 26
6 Erzgebirge Aue 14 6 4 4 +7 22
7 Heidenheim 14 6 4 4 +3 22
8 Osnabruck 14 6 4 4 +0 22
9 Hannover 14 6 2 6 +5 20
10 Karlsruhe 14 6 1 7 +2 19
11 Nurnberg 14 5 4 5 +2 19
12 Darmstadt 14 5 3 6 +1 18
13 Paderborn 14 5 3 6 +1 18
14 Regensburg 14 4 5 5 -2 17
15 Braunschweig 14 3 3 8 -18 12
16 Sandhausen 14 3 2 9 -19 11
17 St Pauli 13 1 5 7 -10 8
18 Wurzburger Kickers 13 1 1 11 -18 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,94
U ✓
3,55
B
2,27
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,62
U2,5 ✓
2,27
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.