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Bundesliga
Referee: M Schmidt
Werder Bremen
T T T T T
0–0
Full-time
Leverkusen
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
2,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 34%
23%
45%
Points per game
1,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
42%
58%
Both score Ø 62%
65%
58%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%
13 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 6
4 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Werder Bremen 15. · Leverkusen 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 31 22 5 4 +46 71
2 RB Leipzig 31 19 7 5 +30 64
3 Wolfsburg 31 16 9 6 +22 57
4 Ein Frankfurt 31 15 11 5 +15 56
5 Dortmund 31 17 4 10 +24 55
6 Leverkusen 31 14 8 9 +16 50
7 M'gladbach 31 12 10 9 +13 46
8 Union Berlin 31 11 13 7 +9 46
9 Stuttgart 32 11 9 12 +2 42
10 Freiburg 31 11 8 12 -1 41
11 Hoffenheim 31 9 9 13 -5 36
12 Mainz 31 9 8 14 -16 35
13 Augsburg 32 9 6 17 -17 33
14 Hertha 30 7 9 14 -11 30
15 Werder Bremen 31 7 9 15 -17 30
16 Bielefeld 31 8 6 17 -28 30
17 FC Koln 31 7 8 16 -24 29
18 Schalke 04 30 2 7 21 -58 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Werder Bremen Leverkusen
Josh Sargent 🟨
3′
27′
🟨 Daley Sinkgraven
36′
ℹ️ Florian Wirtz
VAR: Goal cancelled
Christian Groß 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Wendell
↦ D. Sinkgraven
46′
🔁 D. Gray
↦ L. Bailey
M. Rashica 🔁
↦ L. Bittencourt
57′
Y. Ōsako 🔁
↦ N. Füllkrug
57′
62′
🔁 M. Diaby
↦ K. Bellarabi
74′
🔁 S. Bender
↦ K. Demirbay
81′
🔁 N. Amiri
↦ E. Palacios
K. Möhwald 🔁
↦ C. Groß
83′
E. Dinkçi 🔁
↦ J. Sargent
84′
Theodor Gebre Selassie 🟨
87′
Eren Dinkçi 🟥
90′
90′
🟨 Patrik Schick
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Werder Bremen

4-3-2-1
1 J. Pavlenka G
18 N. Moisander D
36 C. Groß M
23 T. Gebre Selassie D
5 L. Augustinsson D
13 M. Veljkovic D
10 L. Bittencourt M
35 M. Eggestein M
11 N. Füllkrug M
9 D. Selke F
19 J. Sargent M
Bench (9)
7 M. Rashica
8 Y. Ōsako
6 K. Möhwald
43 E. Dinkçi
44 P. Bargfrede
20 R. Schmid
17 F. Agu
30 M. Zetterer
29 P. Erras

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Leverkusen

4-2-3-1
1 L. Hrádecký G
6 A. Dragović D
4 J. Tah D
22 D. Sinkgraven D
12 E. Tapsoba D
10 K. Demirbay M
25 E. Palacios M
27 F. Wirtz M
38 K. Bellarabi M
14 P. Schick F
9 L. Bailey M
Bench (9)
18 Wendell
28 D. Gray
19 M. Diaby
5 S. Bender
11 N. Amiri
20 C. Aránguiz
30 J. Frimpong
23 M. Weiser
21 L. Grill

Coach: H. Wolf

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,32
U ✓
3,80
B
1,81
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,81
U2,5 ✓
2,02
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Schmidt · 27 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.