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Süper Lig
Referee: Tugay Kaan Numanoglu
Trabzonspor
U S U T T
3–4
Full-time
Kasimpasa
S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Trabzonspor Kasimpasa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,7
1,2
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
This season — Süper Lig · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,7
1,2
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–2

41% Possession 59%
12 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 11
3 Blocked shots 2
8 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Trabzonspor 18. · Kasimpasa 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alanyaspor 6 5 1 0 +13 16
2 Fenerbahce 6 4 2 0 +5 14
3 Galatasaray 6 3 1 2 +3 10
4 Karagumruk 6 2 2 2 +2 8
5 Rizespor 6 2 2 2 +1 8
6 Kasimpasa 6 2 2 2 +1 8
7 Antalyaspor 6 2 2 2 -2 8
8 Yeni Malatyaspor 6 2 2 2 -3 8
9 Goztep 6 1 4 1 +3 7
10 Erzurumspor 5 2 1 2 +1 7
11 Buyuksehyr 6 2 1 3 +0 7
12 Besiktas 5 2 1 2 -1 7
13 Gaziantep 6 1 4 1 -1 7
14 Sivasspor 5 2 1 2 -1 7
15 Hatayspor 4 2 1 1 -3 7
16 Konyaspor 5 1 3 1 +2 6
17 Kayserispor 5 2 0 3 -4 6
18 Trabzonspor 6 1 2 3 -4 5
19 Denizlispor 6 1 2 3 -5 5
20 Genclerbirligi 5 1 1 3 -3 4
21 Ankaragücü 4 0 1 3 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Trabzonspor Kasimpasa
8′
M. Tirpan 0–1
1–1 S. Asan
A. Nwakaeme
23′
2–1 A. Nwakaeme
A. Ömür
31′
3–1 A. Nwakaeme
L. Baker
38′
41′
Y. Erdoğan 3–2
Half-time 3–2
46′
🔁 F. Koita
↦ K. Varga
Djaniny 🔁
↦ Flavio
61′
65′
🟨 Tarkan Serbest
A. Parmak 🔁
↦ K. Çörekçi
75′
83′
🔁 A. Koç
↦ Y. Erdoğan
Djaniny 🟨
86′
86′
🟨 Bengali-Fodé Koita
87′
Edgar Ié 4–2
own goal
F. Diabaté 🔁
↦ A. Ömür
89′
89′
🔁 Alan Cariús
↦ A. Hodžić
Vitor Hugo 🟨
90′
Anthony Nwakaeme 🟨
90′
91′
🔁 A. Oğuz
↦ M. Tirpan
93′
F. Koita 4–3
A. Oğuz
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

Trabzonspor

4-2-3-1
1 U. Çakır G
23 K. Çörekçi M
13 Vitor Hugo D
32 Edgar Ié D
3 Marlon Xavier D
99 S. Asan D
8 L. Baker M
24 Flavio M
10 A. Ömür M
9 A. Nwakaeme M
79 B. Afobe F
Bench (10)
21 Djaniny
61 A. Parmak
17 F. Diabaté
5 M. Hosseini
19 S. Kınalı
47 João Pereira
45 B. Başacıkoğlu
16 E. Kardeşler
7 Y. Sarı
38 A. Canbaz

Coach: E. Newton

Kasimpasa

4-1-4-1
1 R. Köse G
3 O. Haddadi D
24 M. Tirpan M
94 F. Hadërgjonaj D
6 L. Sadiku D
35 A. Kara M
5 T. Serbest D
11 Y. Erdoğan M
10 H. Hajradinović M
21 K. Varga M
30 A. Hodžić F
Bench (9)
9 F. Koita
7 A. Koç
20 Alan Cariús
17 A. Oğuz
23 M. Yıldırım
33 E. Taşkıran
22 E. Canpolat
55 Y. Dülger
18 E. Elmalı

Coach: M. Altıparmak

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,01
U
3,45
B ✓
3,63
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,79
U2,5
2,02
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tugay Kaan Numanoglu · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.