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La Liga
Referee: Antonio Mateu
Eibar
T T S U S
0–2
Full-time
Cadiz
T S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Cadiz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,8
1,7
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — La Liga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
29%
43%
Points per game
1,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
43%
14%
Both score Ø 36%
43%
29%
Average goals
1,6
1,7
Scored
0,7
0,9
Conceded
0,9
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

73% Possession 27%
9 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 11. · Cadiz 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sociedad 7 4 2 1 +11 14
2 Real Madrid 6 4 1 1 +5 13
3 Granada 6 4 1 1 +0 13
4 Villarreal 7 3 3 1 +0 12
5 Ath Madrid 5 3 2 0 +9 11
6 Cadiz 7 3 2 2 +0 11
7 Osasuna 6 3 1 2 +2 10
8 Getafe 6 3 1 2 +1 10
9 Elche 5 3 1 1 +1 10
10 Betis 7 3 0 4 -4 9
11 Eibar 7 2 2 3 -1 8
12 Barcelona 5 2 1 2 +4 7
13 Sevilla 5 2 1 2 +1 7
14 Valencia 7 2 1 4 -2 7
15 Alaves 7 2 1 4 -3 7
16 Ath Bilbao 6 2 0 4 -2 6
17 Celta 7 1 3 3 -6 6
18 Huesca 7 0 5 2 -5 5
19 Levante 6 1 1 4 -5 4
20 Valladolid 7 0 3 4 -6 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Cadiz
36′
Álvaro Negredo 0–1
A. Espino
39′
Salvi 0–2
Álvaro Negredo
Half-time 0–2
Sergi Enrich 🔁
↦ T. Inui
46′
Edu Expósito 🔁
↦ P. Diop
46′
61′
🔁 Alejo
↦ Salvi
64′
🟨 Anthony Lozano
Esteban Burgos 🟨
70′
72′
🔁 F. Malbašić
↦ A. Lozano
D. Kądzior 🔁
↦ Kévin Rodrigues
75′
80′
🔁 Jon Garrido
↦ José Mari
80′
🔁 Y. Bodiger
↦ Álvaro Negredo
80′
🔁 A. Fernández
↦ J. Jønsson
Rafa 🔁
↦ E. Burgos
82′
Y. Muto 🔁
↦ Kike
82′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Eibar

4-2-3-1
1 M. Dmitrović G
23 Arbilla D
4 Paulo Oliveira D
24 Kévin Rodrigues M
2 E. Burgos D
8 P. Diop M
14 T. Inui M
6 Sergio Álvarez M
22 Alejandro Pozo D
17 Kike F
25 Bryan Gil M
Bench (12)
9 Sergi Enrich
10 Edu Expósito
19 D. Kądzior
11 Rafa
12 Y. Muto
3 Bigas
16 Roberto Olabe
20 Rober Correa
13 Yoel
5 José Martínez
33 Miguel Atienza
7 Quique González

Coach: Mendilibar

Cadiz

4-4-2
1 J. Ledesma G
16 Juan Cala D
15 Carlos Akapo D
3 Fali Jiménez D
22 A. Espino D
8 Álex M
6 José Mari M
7 Salvi M
2 J. Jønsson M
18 Álvaro Negredo F
9 A. Lozano F
Bench (12)
14 Alejo
24 F. Malbašić
5 Jon Garrido
12 Y. Bodiger
17 A. Fernández
25 Jairo Izquierdo
21 Álvaro Giménez
32 B. Adekanye
11 Jorge Pombo
13 David Gil
27 Marc Baró
19 Alcalá

Coach: Álvaro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,60
U
2,80
B ✓
3,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
3,42
U2,5 ✓
1,31
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Antonio Mateu · 160 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.