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Süper Lig

Referee: Erkan Ozdamar

Karagumruk

S U S T

1–1

Full-time

Kasimpasa

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Kasimpasa

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

75%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,3

This season — Süper Lig · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

75%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

3,0

1,3

Scored

2,0

0,8

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

14 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Karagumruk 3. · Kasimpasa 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	4	3	1	0	+10	10
2	Fenerbahce	4	2	2	0	+2	8
3	Karagumruk	4	2	1	1	+4	7
4	Galatasaray	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	Erzurumspor	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Antalyaspor	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Sivasspor	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Hatayspor	4	2	1	1	-3	7
9	Goztep	4	1	3	0	+4	6
10	Konyaspor	4	1	3	0	+3	6
11	Kasimpasa	4	2	0	2	+1	6
12	Kayserispor	5	2	0	3	-4	6
13	Rizespor	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Trabzonspor	5	1	2	2	-2	5
15	Yeni Malatyaspor	5	1	2	2	-4	5
16	Genclerbirligi	3	1	1	1	-1	4
17	Besiktas	4	1	1	2	-2	4
18	Buyuksehyr	5	1	1	3	-4	4
19	Gaziantep	4	0	3	1	-2	3
20	Denizlispor	4	0	2	2	-5	2
21	Ankaragücü	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Karagumruk	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Antalyaspor	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Hatayspor	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Kasimpasa	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Goztep	2	1	1	0	+4	4
7	Konyaspor	2	1	1	0	+3	4
8	Galatasaray	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Rizespor	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Yeni Malatyaspor	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Fenerbahce	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Trabzonspor	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Kayserispor	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Gaziantep	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Denizlispor	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Genclerbirligi	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Besiktas	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Erzurumspor	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Sivasspor	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	Buyuksehyr	2	0	1	1	-2	1
21	Ankaragücü	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sivasspor	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Erzurumspor	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Alanyaspor	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Fenerbahce	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Galatasaray	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Besiktas	2	1	0	1	-1	3
7	Kayserispor	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Genclerbirligi	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Buyuksehyr	3	1	0	2	-2	3
10	Goztep	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Trabzonspor	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Konyaspor	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Karagumruk	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Antalyaspor	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Ankaragücü	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Gaziantep	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Rizespor	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Yeni Malatyaspor	3	0	1	2	-5	1
19	Hatayspor	2	0	1	1	-6	1
20	Kasimpasa	2	0	0	2	-2	0
21	Denizlispor	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.