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Primeira Liga

Referee: Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida

Pacos Ferreira

U T T S U

3–2

Full-time

Porto

S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pacos Ferreira Porto

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,7

Scored

1,2

2,3

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 40%

20%

60%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

20%

80%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

2,0

3,8

Scored

0,8

2,6

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

31% Possession 69%

16 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 4

22 Free kicks against 20

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pacos Ferreira 12. · Porto 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	5	5	0	0	+12	15
2	Sp Lisbon	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Porto	5	3	1	1	+7	10
4	Sp Braga	5	3	0	2	+3	9
5	Moreirense	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Santa Clara	5	2	1	2	+1	7
7	Guimaraes	5	2	1	2	+0	7
8	Nacional	5	1	3	1	+0	6
9	Maritimo	5	2	0	3	-2	6
10	Rio Ave	5	1	3	1	-2	6
11	Famalicao	5	1	3	1	-3	6
12	Pacos Ferreira	5	1	2	2	-2	5
13	Gil Vicente	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Belenenses	5	1	2	2	-2	5
15	Tondela	5	1	2	2	-4	5
16	Portimonense	5	1	1	3	-3	4
17	Boavista	5	0	3	2	-6	3
18	Farense	5	0	1	4	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Moreirense	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Porto	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Sp Lisbon	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Santa Clara	3	1	1	1	+1	4
6	Gil Vicente	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Tondela	3	1	1	1	-3	4
8	Nacional	3	0	3	0	+0	3
9	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Pacos Ferreira	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Guimaraes	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Famalicao	3	0	2	1	-4	2
14	Belenenses	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Farense	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Portimonense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Rio Ave	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Boavista	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Sp Braga	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Rio Ave	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	Porto	2	1	1	0	+5	4
6	Famalicao	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Guimaraes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Belenenses	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Boavista	3	0	3	0	+0	3
10	Santa Clara	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Nacional	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Portimonense	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Maritimo	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Moreirense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Gil Vicente	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Farense	2	0	0	2	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.