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Süper Lig

Referee: Yasin Kol

Hatayspor

S U S T

1–1

Full-time

Sivasspor

T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hatayspor Sivasspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,5

This season — Süper Lig · 4/5 matches

Win Ø 45%

50%

40%

Points per game

1,8

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

25%

40%

Both score Ø 20%

40%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%

10 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 2

2 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 7

4 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hatayspor 15. · Sivasspor 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	6	5	1	0	+13	16
2	Fenerbahce	6	4	2	0	+5	14
3	Galatasaray	7	4	1	2	+4	13
4	Karagumruk	7	3	2	2	+6	11
5	Rizespor	7	3	2	2	+2	11
6	Kasimpasa	7	3	2	2	+2	11
7	Buyuksehyr	7	3	1	3	+1	10
8	Besiktas	6	3	1	2	+0	10
9	Gaziantep	7	1	5	1	-1	8
10	Antalyaspor	6	2	2	2	-2	8
11	Yeni Malatyaspor	7	2	2	3	-4	8
12	Goztep	6	1	4	1	+3	7
13	Sivasspor	5	2	1	2	-1	7
14	Erzurumspor	6	2	1	3	-3	7
15	Hatayspor	4	2	1	1	-3	7
16	Konyaspor	6	1	3	2	+1	6
17	Kayserispor	6	2	0	4	-5	6
18	Genclerbirligi	6	1	2	3	-3	5
19	Trabzonspor	7	1	2	4	-5	5
20	Denizlispor	6	1	2	3	-5	5
21	Ankaragücü	5	0	1	4	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Karagumruk	4	3	1	0	+9	10
2	Alanyaspor	3	3	0	0	+10	9
3	Fenerbahce	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Antalyaspor	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Kasimpasa	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Rizespor	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Galatasaray	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Yeni Malatyaspor	3	2	1	0	+2	7
9	Hatayspor	2	2	0	0	+3	6
10	Gaziantep	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Goztep	3	1	1	1	+3	4
12	Konyaspor	3	1	1	1	+2	4
13	Buyuksehyr	3	1	1	1	+2	4
14	Besiktas	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Trabzonspor	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Kayserispor	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	Denizlispor	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Genclerbirligi	3	0	2	1	-1	2
19	Erzurumspor	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	Sivasspor	3	0	1	2	-4	1
21	Ankaragücü	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Fenerbahce	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Sivasspor	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Galatasaray	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Besiktas	3	2	0	1	+0	6
6	Erzurumspor	3	2	0	1	-1	6
7	Buyuksehyr	4	2	0	2	-1	6
8	Rizespor	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Kasimpasa	4	1	1	2	-1	4
10	Goztep	3	0	3	0	+0	3
11	Gaziantep	4	0	3	1	-2	3
12	Genclerbirligi	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Kayserispor	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Denizlispor	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Konyaspor	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Trabzonspor	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Ankaragücü	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Karagumruk	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Antalyaspor	3	0	1	2	-5	1
20	Yeni Malatyaspor	4	0	1	3	-6	1
21	Hatayspor	2	0	1	1	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.