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Premier League

Referee: A Marriner

Leeds

S S U T S

1–4

Full-time

Leicester

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leeds Leicester

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,5

Scored

2,0

2,2

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,8

This season — Premier League · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,5

Scored

2,0

2,2

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

67% Possession 33%

11 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 8

2 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 3

2 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 5

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leeds 12. · Leicester 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	7	5	1	1	+2	16
2	Tottenham	7	4	2	1	+9	14
3	Everton	7	4	1	2	+4	13
4	Southampton	7	4	1	2	+2	13
5	Wolves	7	4	1	2	+0	13
6	Chelsea	7	3	3	1	+7	12
7	Aston Villa	6	4	0	2	+6	12
8	Leicester	6	4	0	2	+5	12
9	Arsenal	7	4	0	3	+2	12
10	Man City	6	3	2	1	+1	11
11	Newcastle	7	3	2	2	-1	11
12	Leeds	6	3	1	2	+3	10
13	Crystal Palace	7	3	1	3	-3	10
14	West Ham	7	2	2	3	+3	8
15	Man United	6	2	1	3	-4	7
16	Brighton	7	1	2	4	-3	5
17	Fulham	7	1	1	5	-7	4
18	West Brom	7	0	3	4	-10	3
19	Sheffield United	7	0	1	6	-7	1
20	Burnley	6	0	1	5	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	4	4	0	0	+5	12
2	Everton	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Wolves	4	2	1	1	+1	7
4	Aston Villa	4	2	0	2	+2	6
5	Southampton	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Arsenal	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Newcastle	4	2	0	2	-3	6
8	Tottenham	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Chelsea	3	1	1	1	+2	4
10	West Ham	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	Leeds	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Crystal Palace	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Leicester	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Man City	2	1	0	1	-2	3
15	Fulham	4	1	0	3	-5	3
16	West Brom	3	0	2	1	-3	2
17	Brighton	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Sheffield United	4	0	1	3	-4	1
19	Man United	4	0	1	3	-8	1
20	Burnley	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tottenham	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Leicester	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Chelsea	4	2	2	0	+5	8
4	Man City	4	2	2	0	+3	8
5	Southampton	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Man United	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Aston Villa	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Leeds	3	2	0	1	+3	6
9	Arsenal	4	2	0	2	+1	6
10	Everton	4	2	0	2	-1	6
11	Wolves	3	2	0	1	-1	6
12	Crystal Palace	4	2	0	2	-3	6
13	Newcastle	3	1	2	0	+2	5
14	West Ham	4	1	1	2	+1	4
15	Brighton	4	1	1	2	+0	4
16	Liverpool	3	1	1	1	-3	4
17	Fulham	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Burnley	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	West Brom	4	0	1	3	-7	1
20	Sheffield United	3	0	0	3	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.