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Süper Lig
Referee: Volkan Bayarslan
Ankaragücü
S S U T S
3–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ankaragücü Yeni Malatyaspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
This season — Süper Lig · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 29%
21%
36%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
43%
43%
Both score Ø 54%
50%
57%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

44% Possession 56%
9 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 7
3 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Ankaragücü 20. · Yeni Malatyaspor 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 14 9 2 3 +15 29
2 Gaziantep 15 7 7 1 +11 28
3 Besiktas 14 9 1 4 +10 28
4 Alanyaspor 15 8 3 4 +12 27
5 Fenerbahce 14 8 2 4 +7 26
6 Hatayspor 14 7 3 4 +4 24
7 Karagumruk 14 5 6 3 +6 21
8 Yeni Malatyaspor 14 5 5 4 +1 20
9 Trabzonspor 15 5 5 5 -3 20
10 Konyaspor 14 5 4 5 +4 19
11 Goztep 15 4 7 4 +3 19
12 Rizespor 14 5 4 5 -2 19
13 Kasimpasa 15 5 4 6 -5 19
14 Sivasspor 15 4 6 5 -3 18
15 Antalyaspor 15 4 5 6 -9 17
16 Buyuksehyr 14 4 4 6 -3 16
17 Genclerbirligi 14 4 3 7 -9 15
18 Denizlispor 15 3 4 8 -10 13
19 Erzurumspor 16 3 4 9 -13 13
20 Ankaragücü 14 3 3 8 -6 12
21 Kayserispor 14 2 4 8 -10 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ankaragücü Yeni Malatyaspor
1–0 D. Łukasik
3′
14′
🟨 Olcay Şahan
Stelios Kitsiou 🟨
19′
E. Dikmen 🔁
↦ S. Kitsiou
30′
2–0 J. Paintsil
37′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 J. Topalli
↦ K. Kanatsızkuş
46′
🔁 I. Chebake
↦ O. Şahan
46′
🔁 B. Tetteh
↦ U. Bulut
L. Adžić 🔁
↦ J. Paintsil
60′
68′
🔁 M. Eskihellaç
↦ Z. Yavru
76′
Y. Ndayishimiye 2–1
B. Tetteh
Ricardo Friedrich 🟨
79′
Daniel Łukasik 🟨
81′
81′
🟨 Semih Kaya
83′
🟥 Karim Hafez
T. Børven 🔁
↦ J. Bolingi
85′
Ş. Çetin 🔁
↦ D. Łukasik
86′
A. Dioussé 🔁
↦ E. Çekiçi
86′
3–1 T. Børven
S. Lobzhanidze
88′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Ankaragücü

4-1-4-1
25 Ricardo Friedrich G
89 A. Turan D
70 S. Kitsiou D
50 Z. Šarlija D
35 D. Łukasik M
88 E. Çekiçi M
11 S. Lobzhanidze M
42 I. Voca M
6 A. Çankaya D
9 J. Bolingi F
28 J. Paintsil M
Bench (10)
4 E. Dikmen
7 L. Adžić
22 T. Børven
18 Ş. Çetin
14 A. Dioussé
61 Y. Göktaş
10 O. Çınar
1 K. Çelikay
19 C. Karayel
21 B. Gürbüz

Coach: N. Erkmen

Yeni Malatyaspor

4-2-3-1
25 E. Özbir G
26 S. Kaya D
61 Z. Yavru D
13 Wallace D
45 Karim Hafez D
24 O. Şahan M
20 A. Ildız M
55 Y. Ndayishimiye M
9 U. Bulut F
21 M. Fofana M
90 K. Kanatsızkuş M
Bench (10)
98 J. Topalli
57 I. Chebake
19 B. Tetteh
77 M. Eskihellaç
17 T. Hadebe
8 F. Zuqui
7 B. Yıldız
1 A. Damlu
92 B. Cevahir
44 M. Akça

Coach: H. Hamzaoğlu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,48
U
3,19
B
2,88
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,10
U2,5
1,73
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Volkan Bayarslan · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,40 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.