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Süper Lig

Referee: Atilla Karaoglan

Karagumruk

T U T S S

5–1

Full-time

Denizlispor

U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Denizlispor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,8

3,3

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

2,0

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,3

This season — Süper Lig · 39/39 matches

Win Ø 27%

38%

15%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

56%

44%

Both score Ø 59%

64%

54%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,5

0,9

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,9

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

72% Possession 28%

24 Shots 8

11 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 0

3 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Karagumruk 8. · Denizlispor 21. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Besiktas	39	25	6	8	+44	81
2	Galatasaray	39	25	6	8	+42	81
3	Fenerbahce	39	24	7	8	+30	79
4	Trabzonspor	39	18	14	7	+12	68
5	Sivasspor	39	15	17	7	+10	62
6	Hatayspor	39	17	10	12	+10	61
7	Alanyaspor	40	17	9	14	+13	60
8	Karagumruk	39	15	12	12	+8	57
9	Gaziantep	39	14	13	12	+7	55
10	Goztep	39	13	12	14	+1	51
11	Konyaspor	40	12	14	14	+1	50
12	Rizespor	39	12	12	15	-14	48
13	Kasimpasa	39	12	10	17	-9	46
14	Yeni Malatyaspor	39	10	15	14	-2	45
15	Buyuksehyr	39	11	12	16	-14	45
16	Antalyaspor	40	9	17	14	-14	44
17	Kayserispor	39	9	14	16	-16	41
18	Erzurumspor	40	10	10	20	-24	40
19	Ankaragücü	40	10	8	22	-19	38
20	Genclerbirligi	39	10	8	21	-31	38
21	Denizlispor	39	6	10	23	-35	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Besiktas	20	14	3	3	+35	45
2	Alanyaspor	20	12	4	4	+21	40
3	Galatasaray	19	11	6	2	+26	39
4	Karagumruk	19	11	4	4	+18	37
5	Gaziantep	20	10	6	4	+13	36
6	Fenerbahce	20	11	2	7	+9	35
7	Hatayspor	19	10	4	5	+13	34
8	Trabzonspor	19	10	3	6	+5	33
9	Kasimpasa	20	9	4	7	+1	31
10	Konyaspor	20	7	9	4	+8	30
11	Goztep	19	8	5	6	+9	29
12	Yeni Malatyaspor	20	7	8	5	+4	29
13	Rizespor	19	7	7	5	-1	28
14	Sivasspor	19	6	9	4	+3	27
15	Ankaragücü	20	8	3	9	+1	27
16	Antalyaspor	20	6	7	7	-4	25
17	Buyuksehyr	20	5	8	7	-2	23
18	Genclerbirligi	20	6	5	9	-8	23
19	Kayserispor	19	5	7	7	-4	22
20	Denizlispor	20	4	6	10	-10	18
21	Erzurumspor	20	2	8	10	-12	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	19	13	5	1	+21	44
2	Galatasaray	20	14	0	6	+16	42
3	Besiktas	19	11	3	5	+9	36
4	Sivasspor	20	9	8	3	+7	35
5	Trabzonspor	20	8	11	1	+7	35
6	Hatayspor	20	7	6	7	-3	27
7	Erzurumspor	20	8	2	10	-12	26
8	Goztep	20	5	7	8	-8	22
9	Buyuksehyr	19	6	4	9	-12	22
10	Konyaspor	20	5	5	10	-7	20
11	Alanyaspor	20	5	5	10	-8	20
12	Karagumruk	20	4	8	8	-10	20
13	Rizespor	20	5	5	10	-13	20
14	Gaziantep	19	4	7	8	-6	19
15	Antalyaspor	20	3	10	7	-10	19
16	Kayserispor	20	4	7	9	-12	19
17	Yeni Malatyaspor	19	3	7	9	-6	16
18	Kasimpasa	19	3	6	10	-10	15
19	Genclerbirligi	19	4	3	12	-23	15
20	Ankaragücü	20	2	5	13	-20	11
21	Denizlispor	19	2	4	13	-25	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.