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Süper Lig
Referee: M Kalkavan
Ankaragücü
S T U S U
1–1
Full-time
Trabzonspor
U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ankaragücü Trabzonspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
This season — Süper Lig · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
2,9
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
10 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ankaragücü 14. · Trabzonspor 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 12 9 2 1 +23 29
2 Buyuksehyr 12 7 3 2 +11 24
3 Galatasaray 12 7 3 2 +6 24
4 Ad. Demirspor 12 6 5 1 +10 23
5 Kayserispor 13 7 2 4 +6 23
6 Besiktas 13 6 4 3 +8 22
7 Trabzonspor 12 6 4 2 +3 22
8 Konyaspor 13 5 6 2 +6 21
9 Antalyaspor 12 5 1 6 -2 16
10 Alanyaspor 13 4 4 5 -5 16
11 Gaziantep 12 4 3 5 +0 15
12 Kasimpasa 13 4 3 6 -11 15
13 Karagumruk 12 3 3 6 -3 12
14 Ankaragücü 12 3 3 6 -5 12
15 Giresunspor 12 3 3 6 -8 12
16 Hatayspor 12 3 2 7 -11 11
17 Sivasspor 13 2 4 7 -6 10
18 İstanbulspor 12 2 2 8 -13 8
19 Ümraniyespor 12 1 3 8 -9 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ankaragücü Trabzonspor
14′
🟨 Vitor Hugo
Yasin Güreler 🟨
26′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Djaniny
↦ Y. Yazıcı
46′
🔁 S. Denswil
↦ Vitor Hugo
Jesé 🔁
↦ E. Kılınç
57′
57′
🔁 N. Ünüvar
↦ A. Ömür
T. Chatzigiovanis 🔁
↦ G. Beridze
66′
G. Zahid 🔁
↦ T. Antalyalı
67′
70′
E. Bardhi 0–1
M. Gómez
1–1 T. Ciğerci
74′
77′
🔁 U. Bozok
↦ J. Gbamin
77′
🔁 E. Siopis
↦ M. Hamšík
O. Ceylan 🔁
↦ Y. Güreler
79′
L. Diack 🔁
↦ Pedrinho
79′
Nihad Mujakić 🟨
97′
98′
🟨 Umut Bozok
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Ankaragücü

4-3-3
99 B. Güngördü G
24 K. Malcuit D
26 U. Radaković D
18 N. Mujakić D
17 Y. Güreler D
48 T. Antalyalı M
30 T. Ciğerci M
8 Pedrinho M
54 E. Kılınç F
22 A. Sowe F
21 G. Beridze F
Bench (10)
10 Jesé
7 T. Chatzigiovanis
19 G. Zahid
77 O. Ceylan
14 L. Diack
88 F. Üzüm
6 Ş. Çetin
28 Pêpê Rodrigues
4 A. Çankaya
1 N. Aslan

Coach: Ö. Erdoğan

Trabzonspor

4-2-3-1
1 U. Çakır G
19 J. Stryger Larsen D
3 Marc Bartra D
13 Vitor Hugo D
18 E. Elmalı D
25 J. Gbamin M
17 M. Hamšík M
10 A. Ömür M
61 Y. Yazıcı M
29 E. Bardhi M
30 M. Gómez F
Bench (10)
21 Djaniny
24 S. Denswil
23 N. Ünüvar
9 U. Bozok
6 E. Siopis
54 T. Tepe
34 D. Haspolat
32 Y. Erdoğan
80 M. Lahtimi
4 H. Türkmen

Coach: A. Avcı

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,01
U ✓
3,34
B
2,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,96
U2,5 ✓
1,85
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Kalkavan · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.