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2. Bundesliga
Referee: B Cortus
1–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Kaiserslautern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 44%
50%
38%
Points per game
1,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
56%
56%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
63%
Average goals
2,7
3,1
Scored
1,6
1,7
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

63% Possession 37%
18 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 6. · Kaiserslautern 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Darmstadt 16 10 5 1 +12 35
2 Hamburg 16 10 1 5 +8 31
3 Heidenheim 16 8 6 2 +12 30
4 Hannover 16 8 3 5 +7 27
5 Paderborn 16 8 2 6 +14 26
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 16 8 2 6 +7 26
7 Kaiserslautern 16 6 8 2 +5 26
8 Holstein Kiel 16 6 6 4 +2 24
9 Greuther Furth 16 4 7 5 -4 19
10 Regensburg 16 5 4 7 -9 19
11 Braunschweig 16 4 6 6 -7 18
12 Hansa Rostock 16 5 3 8 -7 18
13 Karlsruhe 16 5 2 9 -4 17
14 Magdeburg 16 5 2 9 -11 17
15 St Pauli 16 3 7 6 -2 16
16 Sandhausen 16 4 4 8 -6 16
17 Nurnberg 16 4 4 8 -10 16
18 Bielefeld 16 4 2 10 -7 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fortuna Dusseldorf Kaiserslautern
1–0 M. Karbownik
E. Iyoha
14′
Jorrit Hendrix 🟨
21′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 K. Kraus
↦ D. Schad
46′
🔁 A. Opoku
↦ H. Çiftçi
50′
K. Kraus 1–1
M. Wunderlich
71′
🔁 P. Klement
↦ M. Wunderlich
Tim Christopher Oberdorf 🟨
75′
S. Appelkamp 🔁
↦ E. Iyoha
76′
F. Klaus 🔁
↦ K. Peterson
77′
81′
🔁 L. Lobinger
↦ T. Boyd
M. Mansfeld 🔁
↦ R. Hennings
86′
87′
🔁 D. Hanslik
↦ K. Redondo
Elione Neto 🔁
↦ M. Mansfeld
90′
93′
🟨 Jean Zimmer
96′
P. Klement 1–2
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Fortuna Dusseldorf

4-3-1-2
33 F. Kastenmeier G
25 M. Zimmermann D
15 T. Oberdorf D
5 C. Klarer D
8 M. Karbownik D
31 M. Sobottka M
29 J. Hendrix M
7 K. Peterson M
19 E. Iyoha M
28 R. Hennings F
9 D. Kownacki F
Bench (9)
23 S. Appelkamp
11 F. Klaus
44 M. Mansfeld
46 Elione Neto
22 B. Böckle
14 K. Baah
3 A. Hoffmann
1 R. Wolf
13 A. Bodzek

Coach: D. Thioune

Kaiserslautern

4-2-3-1
1 A. Luthe G
37 E. Durm D
32 R. Bormuth D
2 B. Tomiak D
20 D. Schad D
7 M. Ritter M
6 H. Çiftçi M
8 J. Zimmer M
28 M. Wunderlich M
11 K. Redondo M
13 T. Boyd F
Bench (9)
5 K. Kraus
25 A. Opoku
10 P. Klement
27 L. Lobinger
19 D. Hanslik
22 L. Bünning
23 P. Hercher
30 A. Spahić
31 B. Zolinski

Coach: D. Schuster

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,91
U
3,48
B ✓
3,99
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,92
U2,5
1,88
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Cortus · 53 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.