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Serie B
Referee: L Marinelli
Ascoli
S U S S U
0–1
Full-time
Frosinone
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ascoli Frosinone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,0
This season — Serie B · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 59%
42%
75%
Points per game
1,6
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
42%
42%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,4
2,1
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,1
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
5 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
26 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ascoli 7. · Frosinone 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 12 9 0 3 +11 27
2 Reggina 12 7 1 4 +12 22
3 Genoa 12 6 4 2 +5 22
4 Ternana 12 6 3 3 +4 21
5 Bari 12 5 5 2 +6 20
6 Parma 12 5 4 3 +4 19
7 Ascoli 12 5 4 3 +3 19
8 Brescia 12 5 4 3 -1 19
9 Sudtirol 12 5 4 3 -1 19
10 Cagliari 12 4 4 4 -1 16
11 Spal 12 3 6 3 +2 15
12 Cittadella 12 3 6 3 -2 15
13 Palermo 12 4 3 5 -3 15
14 Pisa 12 3 5 4 +2 14
15 Modena 12 4 1 7 -1 13
16 Como 12 3 3 6 -9 12
17 Benevento 12 2 5 5 -3 11
18 Cosenza 12 3 2 7 -10 11
19 Venezia 12 2 3 7 -7 9
20 Perugia 12 2 1 9 -11 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ascoli Frosinone
14′
🟨 Luca Moro
41′
🟨 Daniel Boloca
Half-time 0–0
Michele Collocolo 🟥
48′
C. Lungoyi 🔁
↦ Pedro Mendes
59′
59′
🔁 M. Bočić
↦ L. Garritano
59′
🔁 G. Borrelli
↦ L. Moro
60′
🔁 K. Lulić
↦ D. Boloca
60′
🔁 R. Insigne
↦ M. Rohdén
C. Gondo 🔁
↦ F. Dionisi
67′
70′
R. Insigne 0–1
S. Mulattieri
Lorenco Šimić 🟨
72′
75′
🟨 Gianluca Frabotta
Nicola Falasco 🟨
76′
76′
🟨 Roberto Insigne
A. Ciciretti 🔁
↦ D. Quaranta
77′
C. Adjapong 🔁
↦ M. Falzerano
77′
77′
🔁 M. Cotali
↦ G. Frabotta
78′
🟨 Samuele Mulattieri
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Ascoli

3-5-2
13 E. Guarna G
4 L. Šimić D
33 Eric Botteghin D
5 D. Quaranta D
23 M. Falzerano M
18 M. Collocolo M
27 M. Eramo M
8 F. Caligara M
54 N. Falasco M
90 Pedro Mendes F
9 F. Dionisi F
Bench (12)
7 C. Lungoyi
15 C. Gondo
10 A. Ciciretti
17 C. Adjapong
44 A. Tavčar
77 M. Büchel
12 L. Bolletta
55 G. Bellusci
32 S. Giovane
46 N. Baumann
2 A. Salvi
21 S. Giordano

Coach: C. Bucchi

Frosinone

4-4-2
22 S. Turati G
31 M. Sampirisi D
5 F. Lucioni D
20 L. Ravanelli D
99 G. Frabotta D
7 M. Rohdén M
36 L. Mazzitelli M
11 D. Boloca M
16 L. Garritano M
24 L. Moro F
9 S. Mulattieri F
Bench (12)
19 M. Bočić
90 G. Borrelli
8 K. Lulić
94 R. Insigne
29 M. Cotali
23 S. Kalaj
41 A. Oliveri
1 L. Loria
17 A. Traoré
25 P. Szymiński
12 G. Marcianò
30 I. Monterisi

Coach: F. Grosso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,05
U
3,06
B ✓
2,43
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,32
U2,5 ✓
1,59
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Marinelli · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.