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Ekstraklasa

Referee: J Przybył

Warta Poznan

S T U S S

1–1

Full-time

Stal Mielec

S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Warta Poznan Stal Mielec

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

This season — Ekstraklasa · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 47%

44%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

31%

44%

Both score Ø 28%

25%

31%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

1,1

1,5

Conceded

0,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%

18 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 1

1 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Warta Poznan 9. · Stal Mielec 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	16	12	2	2	+22	38
2	Legia	16	9	4	3	+5	31
3	Widzew Lodz	16	8	2	6	+4	26
4	Pogon Szczecin	16	7	5	4	+3	26
5	Stal Mielec	16	8	2	6	+3	26
6	Cracovia	16	7	4	5	+7	25
7	Wisla Plock	16	7	4	5	+4	25
8	Lech Poznan	15	7	4	4	+4	25
9	Warta Poznan	16	7	3	6	+2	24
10	Radomiak Radom	16	7	2	7	-1	23
11	Gornik Zabrze	15	5	5	5	+2	20
12	Slask Wroclaw	16	5	5	6	-5	20
13	Jagiellonia	16	4	6	6	+0	18
14	Zaglebie	16	4	5	7	-13	17
15	Lechia Gdansk	15	4	2	9	-11	14
16	Piast Gliwice	16	3	4	9	-6	13
17	Korona Kielce	16	3	4	9	-8	13
18	Legnica	15	2	3	10	-12	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	9	8	1	0	+18	25
2	Legia	8	6	2	0	+8	20
3	Wisla Plock	7	5	1	1	+8	16
4	Pogon Szczecin	8	4	3	1	+3	15
5	Stal Mielec	8	4	2	2	+5	14
6	Cracovia	9	4	2	3	+5	14
7	Jagiellonia	8	4	1	3	+4	13
8	Widzew Lodz	8	4	1	3	+3	13
9	Lech Poznan	9	4	1	4	-1	13
10	Slask Wroclaw	8	3	3	2	+0	12
11	Radomiak Radom	8	3	1	4	-1	10
12	Gornik Zabrze	8	2	2	4	-2	8
13	Legnica	8	2	2	4	-4	8
14	Piast Gliwice	8	2	1	5	-1	7
15	Zaglebie	8	1	4	3	-5	7
16	Korona Kielce	7	1	2	4	-3	5
17	Warta Poznan	7	1	2	4	-5	5
18	Lechia Gdansk	6	1	2	3	-6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Warta Poznan	9	6	1	2	+7	19
2	Rakow	7	4	1	2	+4	13
3	Widzew Lodz	8	4	1	3	+1	13
4	Radomiak Radom	8	4	1	3	+0	13
5	Lech Poznan	6	3	3	0	+5	12
6	Gornik Zabrze	7	3	3	1	+4	12
7	Stal Mielec	8	4	0	4	-2	12
8	Cracovia	7	3	2	2	+2	11
9	Pogon Szczecin	8	3	2	3	+0	11
10	Legia	8	3	2	3	-3	11
11	Zaglebie	8	3	1	4	-8	10
12	Wisla Plock	9	2	3	4	-4	9
13	Lechia Gdansk	9	3	0	6	-5	9
14	Korona Kielce	9	2	2	5	-5	8
15	Slask Wroclaw	8	2	2	4	-5	8
16	Piast Gliwice	8	1	3	4	-5	6
17	Jagiellonia	8	0	5	3	-4	5
18	Legnica	7	0	1	6	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.