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Süper Lig

Referee: B Şeker

Karagumruk

S T T S U

3–0

Full-time

Kasimpasa

U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Kasimpasa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

This season — Süper Lig · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 34%

34%

Points per game

1,4

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

71%

57%

Both score Ø 63%

71%

54%

Average goals

3,9

2,9

Scored

2,1

1,3

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,4

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%

12 Shots 17

6 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

0 Corners 11

4 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Karagumruk 9. · Kasimpasa 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Galatasaray	35	27	4	4	+53	85
2	Fenerbahce	35	24	5	6	+42	77
3	Besiktas	35	23	8	4	+42	77
4	Ad. Demirspor	35	19	9	7	+30	66
5	Buyuksehyr	35	17	8	10	+15	59
6	Trabzonspor	35	17	6	12	+12	57
7	Konyaspor	35	12	14	9	+8	50
8	Kayserispor	35	15	4	16	-6	49
9	Karagumruk	35	12	12	11	+9	48
10	Kasimpasa	35	12	7	16	-13	43
11	Ankaragücü	35	12	6	17	-9	42
12	Antalyaspor	35	11	8	16	-7	41
13	Alanyaspor	36	11	8	17	-16	41
14	Sivasspor	35	11	7	17	-8	40
15	İstanbulspor	35	11	5	19	-20	38
16	Giresunspor	35	9	10	16	-20	37
17	Ümraniyespor	36	8	9	19	-10	33
18	Gaziantep	36	6	7	23	-41	25
19	Hatayspor	35	6	5	24	-61	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Galatasaray	18	15	2	1	+26	47
2	Besiktas	17	13	3	1	+26	42
3	Ad. Demirspor	18	12	4	2	+27	40
4	Trabzonspor	18	12	4	2	+25	40
5	Fenerbahce	17	12	2	3	+23	38
6	Buyuksehyr	17	11	2	4	+12	35
7	Kayserispor	18	9	2	7	+6	29
8	Alanyaspor	18	8	4	6	+2	28
9	Antalyaspor	18	8	3	7	+5	27
10	Kasimpasa	18	7	3	8	-4	24
11	Karagumruk	17	6	5	6	+6	23
12	Konyaspor	18	5	8	5	+0	23
13	Ankaragücü	17	6	4	7	-3	22
14	Sivasspor	17	5	6	6	+2	21
15	Giresunspor	17	5	4	8	-6	19
16	İstanbulspor	17	5	3	9	-11	18
17	Ümraniyespor	19	4	4	11	-4	16
18	Hatayspor	17	4	4	9	-22	16
19	Gaziantep	18	3	4	11	-20	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	18	12	3	3	+19	39
2	Galatasaray	17	12	2	3	+27	38
3	Besiktas	18	10	5	3	+16	35
4	Konyaspor	17	7	6	4	+8	27
5	Ad. Demirspor	17	7	5	5	+3	26
6	Karagumruk	18	6	7	5	+3	25
7	Buyuksehyr	18	6	6	6	+3	24
8	Ankaragücü	18	6	2	10	-6	20
9	İstanbulspor	18	6	2	10	-9	20
10	Kayserispor	17	6	2	9	-12	20
11	Kasimpasa	17	5	4	8	-9	19
12	Sivasspor	18	6	1	11	-10	19
13	Giresunspor	18	4	6	8	-14	18
14	Ümraniyespor	17	4	5	8	-6	17
15	Trabzonspor	17	5	2	10	-13	17
16	Antalyaspor	17	3	5	9	-12	14
17	Alanyaspor	18	3	4	11	-18	13
18	Gaziantep	18	3	3	12	-21	12
19	Hatayspor	18	2	1	15	-39	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.