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Süper Lig
Referee: T Doman
Trabzonspor
U T T S T
4–1
Full-time
Karagumruk
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Trabzonspor Karagumruk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
4,0
Scored
0,8
2,5
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
This season — Süper Lig · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 39%
44%
34%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
59%
75%
Both score Ø 61%
50%
72%
Average goals
3,0
3,9
Scored
1,6
2,1
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

49% Possession 51%
14 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 1
2 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Trabzonspor 8. · Karagumruk 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 33 25 4 4 +47 79
2 Fenerbahce 33 23 5 5 +43 74
3 Besiktas 34 22 8 4 +39 74
4 Ad. Demirspor 33 18 9 6 +29 63
5 Buyuksehyr 33 15 8 10 +11 53
6 Konyaspor 33 12 13 8 +9 49
7 Kayserispor 33 15 4 14 -3 49
8 Trabzonspor 32 14 6 12 +3 48
9 Karagumruk 32 11 11 10 +10 44
10 Alanyaspor 34 11 8 15 -10 41
11 Kasimpasa 33 11 7 15 -12 40
12 Ankaragücü 33 11 6 16 -7 39
13 Antalyaspor 33 10 8 15 -8 38
14 Sivasspor 34 10 7 17 -9 37
15 İstanbulspor 33 10 5 18 -21 35
16 Giresunspor 33 8 10 15 -19 34
17 Ümraniyespor 34 7 9 18 -12 30
18 Gaziantep 34 6 7 21 -35 25
19 Hatayspor 33 6 5 22 -55 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,62
U
4,25
B
4,81
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,56
U2,5
2,39
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Doman · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.