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Süper Lig

Referee: Yasar Kemal Ugurlu

Kasimpasa

S T U T T

3–2

Full-time

Karagumruk

S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kasimpasa Karagumruk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,0

This season — Süper Lig · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 36%

29%

42%

Points per game

1,1

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

50%

63%

Both score Ø 59%

46%

71%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,1

1,5

Conceded

1,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%

13 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

13 Corners 3

2 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kasimpasa 15. · Karagumruk 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Galatasaray	24	16	3	5	+30	51
2	Besiktas	24	16	3	5	+27	51
3	Fenerbahce	24	16	3	5	+21	51
4	Trabzonspor	25	14	6	5	+8	48
5	Alanyaspor	24	12	6	6	+17	42
6	Hatayspor	24	11	6	7	+10	39
7	Gaziantep	24	10	8	6	+8	38
8	Karagumruk	24	10	7	7	+6	37
9	Antalyaspor	24	7	11	6	-5	32
10	Yeni Malatyaspor	24	7	9	8	-1	30
11	Goztep	24	7	8	9	+3	29
12	Sivasspor	23	6	10	7	-3	28
13	Konyaspor	23	7	6	10	+1	27
14	Rizespor	24	6	8	10	-12	26
15	Kasimpasa	24	7	5	12	-12	26
16	Kayserispor	24	6	7	11	-11	25
17	Erzurumspor	24	6	7	11	-13	25
18	Buyuksehyr	25	6	6	13	-16	24
19	Genclerbirligi	23	5	5	13	-24	20
20	Ankaragücü	23	5	4	14	-13	19
21	Denizlispor	24	4	6	14	-21	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	12	9	2	1	+18	29
2	Besiktas	12	9	1	2	+20	28
3	Galatasaray	12	8	3	1	+22	27
4	Gaziantep	12	7	4	1	+11	25
5	Karagumruk	12	7	2	3	+9	23
6	Fenerbahce	12	7	1	4	+6	22
7	Trabzonspor	12	7	1	4	+2	22
8	Goztep	12	5	4	3	+9	19
9	Konyaspor	12	5	4	3	+6	19
10	Hatayspor	12	5	4	3	+6	19
11	Yeni Malatyaspor	12	5	4	3	+4	19
12	Rizespor	12	5	4	3	+1	19
13	Antalyaspor	12	5	4	3	-1	19
14	Kasimpasa	12	5	2	5	-4	17
15	Buyuksehyr	13	3	5	5	-3	14
16	Ankaragücü	11	4	1	6	-2	13
17	Kayserispor	12	3	4	5	-4	13
18	Genclerbirligi	12	3	3	6	-8	12
19	Sivasspor	11	2	5	4	-3	11
20	Erzurumspor	12	1	6	5	-6	9
21	Denizlispor	12	2	3	7	-7	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	12	9	2	1	+15	29
2	Trabzonspor	13	7	5	1	+6	26
3	Galatasaray	12	8	0	4	+8	24
4	Besiktas	12	7	2	3	+7	23
5	Hatayspor	12	6	2	4	+4	20
6	Sivasspor	12	4	5	3	+0	17
7	Erzurumspor	12	5	1	6	-7	16
8	Karagumruk	12	3	5	4	-3	14
9	Alanyaspor	12	3	4	5	-1	13
10	Gaziantep	12	3	4	5	-3	13
11	Antalyaspor	12	2	7	3	-4	13
12	Kayserispor	12	3	3	6	-7	12
13	Yeni Malatyaspor	12	2	5	5	-5	11
14	Goztep	12	2	4	6	-6	10
15	Buyuksehyr	12	3	1	8	-13	10
16	Kasimpasa	12	2	3	7	-8	9
17	Denizlispor	12	2	3	7	-14	9
18	Konyaspor	11	2	2	7	-5	8
19	Genclerbirligi	11	2	2	7	-16	8
20	Rizespor	12	1	4	7	-13	7
21	Ankaragücü	12	1	3	8	-11	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.