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Süper Lig

Referee: V Bayarslan

Samsunspor

0–2

Full-time

Fenerbahce

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Samsunspor Fenerbahce

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

2,0

3,7

Scored

1,0

3,3

Conceded

1,0

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+3,0

This season — Süper Lig · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,10 xG 1,38

40% Possession 60%

5 Shots 13

1 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 5

3 Offside 4

11 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Samsunspor 14. · Fenerbahce 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hatayspor	2	1	1	0	+4	+2.1	4
2	Sivasspor	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.2	4
3	Alanyaspor	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.0	4
4	Galatasaray	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.6	4
5	Kasimpasa	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.7	4
6	Besiktas	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.9	4
7	Karagumruk	2	1	0	1	+1	-2.1	3
8	Fenerbahce	1	1	0	0	+1	+3.8	3
9	Ad. Demirspor	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
10	Trabzonspor	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.9	3
11	Konyaspor	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.5	2
12	İstanbulspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.5	2
13	Kayserispor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.4	2
14	Samsunspor	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
15	Rizespor	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.3	1
16	Antalyaspor	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.3	1
17	Pendikspor	2	0	1	1	-4	-2.5	1
18	Ankaragücü	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
19	Gaziantep	2	0	0	2	-3	-4.1	0
20	Buyuksehyr	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.4	3
2	Galatasaray	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.3	3
3	Kasimpasa	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
4	Fenerbahce	1	1	0	0	+1	+3.8	3
5	Ad. Demirspor	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
6	Trabzonspor	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
7	Konyaspor	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
8	Antalyaspor	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
9	İstanbulspor	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
10	Sivasspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
11	Besiktas	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
12	Rizespor	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
13	Kayserispor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.3	1
14	Hatayspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
15	Karagumruk	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.7	0
16	Gaziantep	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.3	0
17	Buyuksehyr	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.4	0
18	Pendikspor	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hatayspor	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.3	3
2	Sivasspor	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
3	Karagumruk	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.4	3
4	Besiktas	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.7	3
5	İstanbulspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
6	Konyaspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
7	Kayserispor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.0	1
8	Samsunspor	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
9	Pendikspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
10	Alanyaspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
11	Galatasaray	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
12	Kasimpasa	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
13	Ankaragücü	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
14	Gaziantep	1	0	0	1	-1	-3.8	0
15	Rizespor	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.7	0
16	Antalyaspor	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
17	Buyuksehyr	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.4	0
18	Trabzonspor	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Samsunspor Fenerbahce

Half-time 0–0

M. Mouandilmadji 🔁

↦ M. Fofana

59′

Y. Aït Bennasser 🔁

↦ T. Antalyalı

59′

62′

⚽ E. Džeko 0–1

C. Ünder

64′

🔁 İ. Kahveci

↦ C. Ünder

O. Çelik 🔁

↦ E. Kılınç

71′

75′

ℹ️ Fred

VAR: Goal cancelled

78′

🔁 M. Müldür

↦ S. Aziz

78′

🔁 U. Nayir

↦ E. Džeko

85′

🔁 B. Elmaz

↦ Fred

85′

🔁 S. Szymański

↦ M. Yandaş

S. Aydoğdu 🔁

↦ O. Ntcham

86′

M. Özbaskıcı 🔁

↦ M. Bola

86′

Rick Van Drongelen 🟨

97′

🟨 Mert Müldür

98′

⚽ S. Szymański 0–2

İ. Kahveci

Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Samsunspor

3-4-2-1

O. Kocuk G

18 Z. Yavru D

5 A. Öztürk D

R. van Drongelen D

17 K. Schindler M

T. Antalyalı M

10 O. Ntcham M

M. Bola M

E. Kılınç F

7 M. Fofana F

27 G. Laura F

Bench (10)

9 M. Mouandilmadji

6 Y. Aït Bennasser

88 O. Çelik

8 S. Aydoğdu

20 M. Özbaskıcı

22 Y. Çift

28 S. Gönül

29 J. Szumski

19 Nanu

37 Ľ. Šatka

Coach: H. Eroğlu

Fenerbahce

4-1-4-1

İ. Eğribayat G

F. Kadıoğlu D

4 S. Aziz D

6 A. Djiku D

J. Oosterwolde D

İ. Yüksek M

C. Ünder M

8 M. Yandaş M

Fred M

D. Tadić M

E. Džeko F

Bench (10)

17 İ. Kahveci

16 M. Müldür

22 U. Nayir

28 B. Elmaz

53 S. Szymański

65 E. Ortakaya

15 J. King

11 R. Kent

1 A. Bayındır

23 M. Batshuayi

Coach: İ. Kartal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

5,18

🔒

4,29

🔒

B ✓

1,56

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5

1,54

🔒

U2,5 ✓

2,42

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

13. Aug SL 3 years ago

Referee

V Bayarslan · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

3,6 / match

Below average

⚽ Free kicks

25,8 / match

Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Match report

Line-ups

Samsunspor

Fenerbahce

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee