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Serie A

Referee: L Pairetto

Bologna

U S U S S

0–2

Full-time

Milan

T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Milan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

2,2

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,06 xG 0,90

53% Possession 47%

17 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 6

2 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 4

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.8	3
2	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.9	3
3	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.6	3
4	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.9	3
5	Inter	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.9	3
6	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
7	Verona	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
8	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.8	1
9	Salernitana	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.8	1
10	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
11	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
12	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
13	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
14	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.6	0
15	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
16	Monza	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.9	0
17	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.8	0
18	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Inter	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.9	3
2	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
3	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.8	1
4	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
5	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
6	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.6	0
7	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
8	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.8	0
9	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.8	3
2	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.9	3
3	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.6	3
4	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.9	3
5	Verona	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
6	Salernitana	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.8	1
7	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
8	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
9	Monza	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.