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Serie A
Referee: F Cosso
Torino
S U S T S
0–0
Full-time
Cagliari
S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Cagliari
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,96 xG 0,39
57% Possession 43%
11 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Fiorentina 1 1 0 0 +3 +0.8 3
2 Juventus 1 1 0 0 +3 +0.9 3
3 Napoli 1 1 0 0 +2 +0.6 3
4 Atalanta 1 1 0 0 +2 +0.9 3
5 Inter 1 1 0 0 +2 +1.9 3
6 Lecce 1 1 0 0 +1 -0.1 3
7 Verona 1 1 0 0 +1 -0.2 3
8 Roma 1 0 1 0 +0 +1.8 1
9 Salernitana 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.8 1
10 Lazio 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.1 0
11 Empoli 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.2 0
12 Frosinone 1 0 0 1 -2 -0.6 0
13 Sassuolo 1 0 0 1 -2 -0.9 0
14 Monza 1 0 0 1 -2 -1.9 0
15 Genoa 1 0 0 1 -3 -0.8 0
16 Udinese 1 0 0 1 -3 -0.9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Torino Cagliari
Alessandro Buongiorno 🟨
36′
Half-time 0–0
N. Radonjić 🔁
↦ Y. Karamoh
46′
46′
🔁 A. Di Pardo
↦ E. Goldaniga
62′
🔁 J. Jankto
↦ G. Oristanio
62′
🔁 E. Shomurodov
↦ Zito Luvumbo
K. Linetty 🔁
↦ S. Ricci
68′
P. Pellegri 🔁
↦ N. Vlašić
68′
72′
🔁 L. Pavoletti
↦ N. Nández
D. Zima 🔁
↦ R. Rodríguez
75′
S. Verdi 🔁
↦ A. Sanabria
87′
87′
🔁 A. Deiola
↦ A. Obert
95′
🟨 Leonardo Pavoletti
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Torino

3-4-2-1
32 V. Milinković-Savić G
3 P. Schuurs D
4 A. Buongiorno D
13 R. Rodríguez D
19 R. Bellanova M
28 S. Ricci M
8 I. Ilić M
27 M. Vojvoda M
16 N. Vlašić F
7 Y. Karamoh F
9 A. Sanabria F
Bench (13)
10 N. Radonjić
77 K. Linetty
11 P. Pellegri
6 D. Zima
99 S. Verdi
1 L. Gemello
21 A. Dembélé
2 B. Bayeye
94 A. N'Guessan
14 E. İlkhan
71 M. Popa
61 A. Tameze
66 G. Gineitis

Coach: I. Juric

Cagliari

3-4-3
1 B. Radunović G
3 E. Goldaniga D
4 A. Dossena D
33 A. Obert D
28 G. Zappa M
25 I. Sulemana M
29 A. Makoumbou M
37 Paulo Azzi M
8 N. Nández F
19 G. Oristanio F
77 Zito Luvumbo F
Bench (12)
99 A. Di Pardo
21 J. Jankto
61 E. Shomurodov
30 L. Pavoletti
14 A. Deiola
16 M. Prati
27 T. Augello
18 S. Aresti
24 E. Capradossi
39 C. Kourfalidis
22 S. Scuffet
10 N. Viola

Coach: C. Ranieri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,68
U ✓
3,73
B
5,47
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,16
U2,5 ✓
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Cosso · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.