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La Liga

Referee: Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez

Alaves

U S U S T

4–3

Full-time

Sevilla

U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Sevilla

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

1,0

2,2

Scored

0,7

0,8

Conceded

0,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,0

3,0

Scored

0,0

1,0

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

1,85 xG 0,64

33% Possession 67%

14 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 6

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alaves 18. · Sevilla 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.2	6
2	Valencia	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.4	6
3	Girona	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.9	4
4	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.1	4
5	Barcelona	2	1	1	0	+2	+3.2	4
6	Betis	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.5	4
7	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
8	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.3	3
9	Osasuna	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.3	3
10	Villarreal	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.4	3
11	Cadiz	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.9	3
12	Sociedad	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.6	2
13	Las Palmas	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.7	1
14	Mallorca	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.9	1
15	Celta	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.4	1
16	Getafe	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.6	1
17	Sevilla	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
18	Alaves	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
19	Granada	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
20	Almeria	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Girona	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.7	3
2	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
3	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.3	3
4	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
5	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
6	Sociedad	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.6	2
7	Las Palmas	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
8	Betis	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
9	Getafe	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.9	1
10	Villarreal	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
11	Sevilla	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
12	Mallorca	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.6	0
13	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.5	0
14	Celta	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.0	0
15	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.3	0
16	Almeria	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.2	6
2	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.0	3
3	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
4	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
5	Betis	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
6	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
7	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.6	3
8	Celta	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
9	Girona	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
10	Mallorca	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
11	Ath Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.3	1
12	Barcelona	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.9	1
13	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
14	Alaves	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
15	Granada	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
16	Cadiz	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.3	0
17	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.