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Süper Lig

Referee: B Pakkan

Samsunspor

U T T T T

1–2

Full-time

Gaziantep

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Samsunspor Gaziantep

Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

40%

50%

Both score Ø 47%

60%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

0,8

0,7

Conceded

2,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,4

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

40%

50%

Both score Ø 47%

60%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

0,8

0,7

Conceded

2,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,4

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,34 xG 0,15

69% Possession 31%

19 Shots 4

2 Shots on target 3

8 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

9 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Samsunspor 20. · Gaziantep 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	6	6	0	0	+10	+9.5	18
2	Galatasaray	6	5	1	0	+9	+7.0	16
3	Ad. Demirspor	6	3	2	1	+5	+2.0	11
4	Rizespor	6	3	2	1	+2	+1.6	11
5	Hatayspor	6	2	4	0	+5	+3.0	10
6	Besiktas	6	3	1	2	-1	+3.7	10
7	Trabzonspor	6	3	0	3	+4	-0.8	9
8	Konyaspor	6	2	3	1	+2	-0.5	9
9	Kayserispor	6	2	3	1	+2	-2.2	9
10	Kasimpasa	6	2	3	1	-2	+1.3	9
11	Alanyaspor	6	1	4	1	+1	-0.2	7
12	Ankaragücü	6	1	3	2	+0	+0.4	6
13	Antalyaspor	6	1	3	2	+0	-0.0	6
14	Karagumruk	6	1	3	2	+0	-5.8	6
15	Sivasspor	6	1	3	2	-2	-1.4	6
16	Pendikspor	6	0	4	2	-7	-3.9	4
17	Gaziantep	6	1	0	5	-8	-7.0	3
18	Buyuksehyr	6	1	0	5	-8	-1.0	3
19	İstanbulspor	5	0	2	3	-5	-5.0	2
20	Samsunspor	5	0	1	4	-7	-0.8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	3	3	0	0	+6	+6.1	9
2	Ad. Demirspor	3	3	0	0	+6	+2.1	9
3	Besiktas	3	2	1	0	+3	+3.2	7
4	Kayserispor	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.3	7
5	Kasimpasa	4	2	1	1	-2	+0.6	7
6	Galatasaray	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.2	6
7	Trabzonspor	3	2	0	1	+3	+1.9	6
8	Antalyaspor	3	1	2	0	+2	+1.0	5
9	Hatayspor	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.2	5
10	Alanyaspor	4	1	2	1	+1	-0.1	5
11	Rizespor	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.7	5
12	Konyaspor	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.3	4
13	Gaziantep	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.5	3
14	Ankaragücü	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.7	2
15	Karagumruk	3	0	2	1	-1	-4.1	2
16	Sivasspor	3	0	2	1	-2	-0.1	2
17	Pendikspor	3	0	2	1	-4	-2.4	2
18	İstanbulspor	3	0	1	2	-3	-4.1	1
19	Samsunspor	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.3	0
20	Buyuksehyr	3	0	0	3	-4	-1.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	4	3	1	0	+5	+4.7	10
2	Fenerbahce	3	3	0	0	+4	+3.3	9
3	Rizespor	3	2	0	1	+1	-0.1	6
4	Hatayspor	3	1	2	0	+4	+3.3	5
5	Konyaspor	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.9	5
6	Ankaragücü	3	1	1	1	+1	-0.3	4
7	Karagumruk	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.6	4
8	Sivasspor	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.3	4
9	Trabzonspor	3	1	0	2	+1	-2.7	3
10	Besiktas	3	1	0	2	-4	+0.5	3
11	Buyuksehyr	3	1	0	2	-4	+0.7	3
12	Kasimpasa	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.7	2
13	Alanyaspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.2	2
14	Ad. Demirspor	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.0	2
15	Kayserispor	3	0	2	1	-1	-2.5	2
16	Pendikspor	3	0	2	1	-3	-1.6	2
17	Antalyaspor	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.0	1
18	İstanbulspor	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.9	1
19	Samsunspor	4	0	1	3	-5	+0.5	1
20	Gaziantep	3	0	0	3	-5	-5.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.