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Pro League
Referee: E Lambrechts
Kortrijk
T T U T U
2–1
Full-time
Cercle Brugge
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kortrijk Cercle Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
2,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
0%
80%
Points per game
0,3
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
67%
40%
Both score Ø 45%
50%
40%
Average goals
3,5
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,6
Conceded
2,7
0,6
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,50 xG 1,55
46% Possession 54%
10 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kortrijk 15. · Cercle Brugge 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Club Brugge 6 4 1 1 +13 +9.3 13
2 Cercle Brugge 5 4 0 1 +5 +5.5 12
3 RWD Molenbeek 8 3 2 3 -8 -5.4 11
4 Anderlecht 4 3 1 0 +3 -0.7 10
5 Gent 4 3 1 0 +3 +0.8 10
6 Antwerp 5 2 3 0 +9 +3.0 9
7 St. Gilloise 4 3 0 1 +2 +2.1 9
8 Mechelen 4 2 1 1 +4 -0.5 7
9 Eupen 7 2 1 4 -6 -7.0 7
10 Standard 6 1 3 2 +0 -4.7 6
11 Genk 4 1 2 1 +3 +6.1 5
12 St Truiden 5 1 2 2 -2 -2.9 5
13 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 6 1 2 3 -4 +1.9 5
14 Charleroi 7 0 4 3 -5 -3.7 4
15 Kortrijk 6 0 2 4 -11 -0.0 2
16 Westerlo 5 0 1 4 -6 -3.8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kortrijk Cercle Brugge
Aleksandar Radovanović 🟨
6′
Dion De Neve 🟨
36′
Half-time 0–0
R. Alebiosu 🔁
↦ N. Mehssatou
57′
1–0 D. De Neve
A. Sissako
58′
S. Ojo 🔁
↦ D. De Neve
65′
66′
🔁 H. Van der Bruggen
↦ N. De Wilde
66′
🔁 Flávio Nazinho
↦ J. Semedo Varela
76′
🔁 A. Minda
↦ Y. Gboho
2–0 I. Davies
R. Alebiosu
77′
Mounaim El Idrissy ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
79′
Mounaim El Idrissy 🟨
81′
82′
🔁 K. Olaigbe
↦ H. Siquet
82′
🔁 E. Utkus
↦ J. Daland
K. Malinov 🔁
↦ I. Davies
86′
M. Bruno 🔁
↦ M. El Idrissy
87′
92′
Leonardo Lopes 2–1
C. Ravych
95′
🟨 Edgaras Utkus
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Kortrijk

3-5-2
1 T. Vandenberghe G
4 M. Mampassi D
44 João Silva D
66 A. Radovanović D
6 N. Mehssatou M
27 A. Sissako M
10 A. Kadri M
16 M. Kana M
11 D. De Neve M
99 M. El Idrissy F
39 I. Davies F
Bench (7)
2 R. Alebiosu
54 S. Ojo
15 K. Malinov
70 M. Bruno
7 D. Mbayo
95 L. Pirard
21 M. Wasinski

Coach: J. Akpala

Cercle Brugge

3-4-2-1
1 Warleson G
5 B. Popović D
66 C. Ravych D
4 J. Daland D
41 H. Siquet M
27 N. De Wilde M
22 Leonardo Lopes M
77 J. Semedo Varela M
34 T. Somers F
10 Y. Gboho F
9 K. Denkey F
Bench (7)
28 H. Van der Bruggen
20 Flávio Nazinho
11 A. Minda
19 K. Olaigbe
3 E. Utkus
32 R. Etonde
21 M. Delanghe

Coach: M. Muslić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,68
U
4,25
B
1,63
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,50
U2,5
2,53
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Lambrechts · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.