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Süper Lig

Referee: A Kardeşler

Antalyaspor

T U U U T

2–0

Full-time

Samsunspor

U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antalyaspor Samsunspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,5

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 71%

67%

75%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,5

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 5/4 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,6

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

20%

50%

Both score Ø 78%

80%

75%

Average goals

2,4

3,3

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,4

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

0,72 xG 0,68

42% Possession 58%

7 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 0

1 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 4

22 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Antalyaspor 16. · Samsunspor 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	4	4	0	0	+5	+6.1	12
2	Rizespor	6	3	2	1	+2	+1.6	11
3	Galatasaray	4	3	1	0	+7	+4.1	10
4	Trabzonspor	5	3	0	2	+5	-0.5	9
5	Kayserispor	5	2	3	0	+3	-0.6	9
6	Ad. Demirspor	4	2	2	0	+4	+1.9	8
7	Konyaspor	5	2	2	1	+2	+0.5	8
8	Hatayspor	5	1	4	0	+4	+2.8	7
9	Alanyaspor	5	1	4	0	+2	+1.1	7
10	Besiktas	4	2	1	1	+0	+2.1	7
11	Karagumruk	6	1	3	2	+0	-5.8	6
12	Sivasspor	6	1	3	2	-2	-1.4	6
13	Kasimpasa	5	1	3	1	-3	+1.3	6
14	Ankaragücü	5	1	2	2	+0	-0.6	5
15	Pendikspor	6	0	4	2	-7	-3.9	4
16	Antalyaspor	5	0	3	2	-2	-0.1	3
17	Buyuksehyr	4	1	0	3	-3	+2.8	3
18	Gaziantep	6	1	0	5	-8	-7.0	3
19	İstanbulspor	4	0	2	2	-4	-3.9	2
20	Samsunspor	4	0	1	3	-5	-0.8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Kayserispor	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.3	7
2	Galatasaray	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.2	6
3	Ad. Demirspor	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.0	6
4	Trabzonspor	3	2	0	1	+3	+1.9	6
5	Fenerbahce	2	2	0	0	+2	+4.2	6
6	Alanyaspor	3	1	2	0	+2	+1.3	5
7	Rizespor	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.7	5
8	Besiktas	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.6	4
9	Konyaspor	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.3	4
10	Kasimpasa	3	1	1	1	-3	+0.6	4
11	Gaziantep	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.5	3
12	Hatayspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.5	2
13	Antalyaspor	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.0	2
14	Karagumruk	3	0	2	1	-1	-4.1	2
15	Sivasspor	3	0	2	1	-2	-0.1	2
16	Pendikspor	3	0	2	1	-4	-2.4	2
17	Ankaragücü	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.3	1
18	İstanbulspor	2	0	1	1	-2	-3.0	1
19	Samsunspor	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.3	0
20	Buyuksehyr	2	0	0	2	-3	+0.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.0	6
2	Rizespor	3	2	0	1	+1	-0.1	6
3	Hatayspor	3	1	2	0	+4	+3.3	5
4	Galatasaray	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.9	4
5	Ankaragücü	3	1	1	1	+1	-0.3	4
6	Karagumruk	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.6	4
7	Konyaspor	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.1	4
8	Sivasspor	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.3	4
9	Trabzonspor	2	1	0	1	+2	-2.4	3
10	Buyuksehyr	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.6	3
11	Besiktas	2	1	0	1	-2	+0.5	3
12	Ad. Demirspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.1	2
13	Kasimpasa	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.7	2
14	Kayserispor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.9	2
15	Alanyaspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.2	2
16	Pendikspor	3	0	2	1	-3	-1.6	2
17	Antalyaspor	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.0	1
18	İstanbulspor	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.9	1
19	Samsunspor	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.5	1
20	Gaziantep	3	0	0	3	-5	-5.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.