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Süper Lig

Referee: B Şeker

Karagumruk

S T T T T

4–1

Full-time

Kayserispor

S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Kayserispor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 33%

22%

44%

Points per game

0,9

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

39%

44%

Both score Ø 48%

39%

56%

Average goals

2,1

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,4

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

1,32 xG 1,70

40% Possession 60%

15 Shots 13

10 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 8

5 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Karagumruk 18. · Kayserispor 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	18	15	2	1	+34	+29.9	47
2	Galatasaray	18	15	2	1	+26	+25.8	47
3	Trabzonspor	18	10	3	5	+12	+0.9	33
4	Besiktas	19	10	2	7	+4	+6.1	32
5	Kayserispor	18	8	5	5	+2	-3.9	29
6	Rizespor	19	8	5	6	-3	-3.9	29
7	Ad. Demirspor	18	7	7	4	+9	-0.5	28
8	Antalyaspor	19	7	7	5	+5	-0.1	28
9	Kasimpasa	19	7	5	7	-5	-6.6	26
10	Sivasspor	18	6	6	6	-5	-2.2	24
11	Buyuksehyr	19	6	5	8	+0	-1.7	23
12	Alanyaspor	19	5	7	7	-7	-0.6	22
13	Ankaragücü	19	4	9	6	-1	-3.7	21
14	Gaziantep	18	6	2	10	-7	-6.7	20
15	Hatayspor	18	4	7	7	-1	+2.9	19
16	Konyaspor	18	4	6	8	-7	-4.5	18
17	Samsunspor	18	5	3	10	-9	+2.9	18
18	Karagumruk	18	4	5	9	-1	-7.5	17
19	Pendikspor	19	3	6	10	-22	-8.8	15
20	İstanbulspor	18	2	2	14	-24	-17.6	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	9	9	0	0	+17	+17.2	27
2	Fenerbahce	9	7	1	1	+16	+14.6	22
3	Ad. Demirspor	9	7	1	1	+14	+3.6	22
4	Rizespor	10	6	2	2	+5	+3.3	20
5	Kayserispor	10	5	3	2	+5	+3.6	18
6	Antalyaspor	10	4	5	1	+3	-0.8	17
7	Trabzonspor	8	5	1	2	+5	+2.2	16
8	Besiktas	9	5	1	3	+2	+3.3	16
9	Buyuksehyr	9	4	2	3	+4	+0.7	14
10	Samsunspor	9	4	2	3	+1	+2.7	14
11	Kasimpasa	10	4	2	4	-4	-4.6	14
12	Alanyaspor	10	3	4	3	+0	+2.4	13
13	Karagumruk	9	3	3	3	+3	-1.5	12
14	Hatayspor	8	3	3	2	+2	+1.9	12
15	Konyaspor	9	3	2	4	+1	+1.0	11
16	Ankaragücü	10	2	5	3	-1	+1.2	11
17	Gaziantep	9	3	2	4	-3	-4.5	11
18	Sivasspor	8	1	5	2	-2	+2.9	8
19	İstanbulspor	10	2	1	7	-12	-11.6	7
20	Pendikspor	9	1	3	5	-12	-6.9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	9	8	1	0	+18	+15.3	25
2	Galatasaray	9	6	2	1	+9	+8.6	20
3	Trabzonspor	10	5	2	3	+7	-1.3	17
4	Besiktas	10	5	1	4	+2	+2.8	16
5	Sivasspor	10	5	1	4	-3	-5.1	16
6	Kasimpasa	9	3	3	3	-1	-2.0	12
7	Antalyaspor	9	3	2	4	+2	+0.7	11
8	Kayserispor	8	3	2	3	-3	-7.5	11
9	Ankaragücü	9	2	4	3	+0	-4.9	10
10	Gaziantep	9	3	0	6	-4	-2.3	9
11	Buyuksehyr	10	2	3	5	-4	-2.3	9
12	Alanyaspor	9	2	3	4	-7	-3.1	9
13	Rizespor	9	2	3	4	-8	-7.3	9
14	Pendikspor	10	2	3	5	-10	-2.0	9
15	Hatayspor	10	1	4	5	-3	+1.0	7
16	Konyaspor	9	1	4	4	-8	-5.5	7
17	Ad. Demirspor	9	0	6	3	-5	-4.1	6
18	Karagumruk	9	1	2	6	-4	-6.0	5
19	Samsunspor	9	1	1	7	-10	+0.2	4
20	İstanbulspor	8	0	1	7	-12	-6.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.