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Süper Lig

Referee: A Şansalan

Karagumruk

S T S T T

0–3

Full-time

Gaziantep

S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Gaziantep

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 28%

25%

31%

Points per game

1,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

38%

50%

Both score Ø 41%

44%

38%

Average goals

2,1

2,8

Scored

1,1

Conceded

0,9

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,19 xG 1,79

68% Possession 32%

8 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 3

3 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Karagumruk 14. · Gaziantep 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	16	14	1	1	+30	+27.7	43
2	Galatasaray	16	14	1	1	+23	+23.7	43
3	Trabzonspor	16	9	2	5	+11	+0.3	29
4	Kayserispor	16	8	5	3	+6	-2.1	29
5	Besiktas	16	8	2	6	+1	+5.7	26
6	Rizespor	16	7	4	5	-1	-3.7	25
7	Ad. Demirspor	16	6	6	4	+8	-0.1	24
8	Antalyaspor	16	6	6	4	+5	-0.3	24
9	Kasimpasa	16	6	4	6	-4	-5.8	22
10	Sivasspor	17	5	6	6	-7	-2.8	21
11	Hatayspor	16	4	7	5	+2	+3.7	19
12	Ankaragücü	16	4	7	5	+0	-2.2	19
13	Buyuksehyr	16	5	3	8	-3	-2.7	18
14	Karagumruk	16	4	5	7	+3	-5.4	17
15	Alanyaspor	16	4	5	7	-9	-2.4	17
16	Gaziantep	16	5	1	10	-10	-5.9	16
17	Konyaspor	16	3	6	7	-6	-3.6	15
18	Samsunspor	16	4	3	9	-8	+2.5	15
19	Pendikspor	16	3	4	9	-21	-11.3	13
20	İstanbulspor	17	2	2	13	-20	-15.3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	8	8	0	0	+14	+15.2	24
2	Fenerbahce	8	7	0	1	+16	+14.7	21
3	Ad. Demirspor	8	6	1	1	+13	+4.0	19
4	Kayserispor	9	5	3	1	+7	+4.2	18
5	Rizespor	8	5	2	1	+7	+3.4	17
6	Besiktas	8	5	1	2	+4	+3.8	16
7	Antalyaspor	9	4	4	1	+3	-0.5	16
8	Trabzonspor	7	5	0	2	+5	+1.8	15
9	Buyuksehyr	8	4	1	3	+4	+0.7	13
10	Kasimpasa	8	4	1	3	-1	-3.4	13
11	Karagumruk	8	3	3	2	+6	-0.9	12
12	Hatayspor	7	3	3	1	+3	+2.6	12
13	Samsunspor	8	3	2	3	+0	+1.2	11
14	Ankaragücü	9	2	5	2	+0	+1.4	11
15	Gaziantep	8	3	1	4	-3	-3.0	10
16	Alanyaspor	8	2	3	3	-2	+1.0	9
17	Konyaspor	8	2	2	4	-1	-0.1	8
18	Sivasspor	8	1	5	2	-2	+2.9	8
19	İstanbulspor	9	2	1	6	-8	-9.3	7
20	Pendikspor	7	1	2	4	-11	-7.8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	8	7	1	0	+14	+13.0	22
2	Galatasaray	8	6	1	1	+9	+8.5	19
3	Trabzonspor	9	4	2	3	+6	-1.5	14
4	Sivasspor	9	4	1	4	-5	-5.7	13
5	Kayserispor	7	3	2	2	-1	-6.3	11
6	Besiktas	8	3	1	4	-3	+1.9	10
7	Kasimpasa	8	2	3	3	-3	-2.5	9
8	Antalyaspor	7	2	2	3	+2	+0.2	8
9	Ankaragücü	7	2	2	3	+0	-3.5	8
10	Alanyaspor	8	2	2	4	-7	-3.4	8
11	Rizespor	8	2	2	4	-8	-7.1	8
12	Pendikspor	9	2	2	5	-10	-3.4	8
13	Hatayspor	9	1	4	4	-1	+1.1	7
14	Konyaspor	8	1	4	3	-5	-3.5	7
15	Gaziantep	8	2	0	6	-7	-2.9	6
16	Karagumruk	8	1	2	5	-3	-4.5	5
17	Ad. Demirspor	8	0	5	3	-5	-4.1	5
18	Buyuksehyr	8	1	2	5	-7	-3.4	5
19	Samsunspor	8	1	1	6	-8	+1.3	4
20	İstanbulspor	8	0	1	7	-12	-6.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.