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Süper Lig

Referee: B Şeker

Kayserispor

S U T T T

2–1

Full-time

Karagumruk

U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kayserispor Karagumruk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,7

3,0

Scored

1,5

Conceded

2,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,0

This season — Süper Lig · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 40%

30%

50%

Points per game

1,1

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 45%

50%

40%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,6

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%

17 Shots 10

8 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 6

7 Corners 5

2 Offside 1

23 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Kayserispor 15. · Karagumruk 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	11	8	3	0	+12	27
2	Hatayspor	11	7	2	2	+12	23
3	Besiktas	11	6	2	3	+7	20
4	Konyaspor	11	5	5	1	+6	20
5	Alanyaspor	10	6	2	2	+1	20
6	Fenerbahce	11	6	1	4	+2	19
7	Karagumruk	10	5	3	2	+4	18
8	Galatasaray	10	5	2	3	+1	17
9	Altay	11	5	1	5	+0	16
10	Ad. Demirspor	10	3	4	3	+0	13
11	Sivasspor	11	2	6	3	+2	12
12	Buyuksehyr	10	4	0	6	+0	12
13	Gaziantep	10	3	3	4	-2	12
14	Yeni Malatyaspor	11	4	0	7	-8	12
15	Kayserispor	10	3	2	5	-4	11
16	Kasimpasa	11	2	3	6	-4	9
17	Giresunspor	10	2	3	5	-4	9
18	Antalyaspor	10	2	3	5	-5	9
19	Goztep	10	2	2	6	-5	8
20	Rizespor	11	1	1	9	-15	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Besiktas	6	5	1	0	+9	16
2	Konyaspor	6	4	2	0	+6	14
3	Hatayspor	6	4	1	1	+7	13
4	Karagumruk	5	3	2	0	+7	11
5	Gaziantep	5	3	2	0	+6	11
6	Trabzonspor	5	3	2	0	+4	11
7	Fenerbahce	5	3	1	1	+3	10
8	Altay	6	3	1	2	+2	10
9	Buyuksehyr	5	3	0	2	+4	9
10	Alanyaspor	4	3	0	1	+3	9
11	Galatasaray	4	3	0	1	+2	9
12	Kasimpasa	6	2	2	2	+2	8
13	Kayserispor	4	2	1	1	+4	7
14	Sivasspor	6	1	4	1	+3	7
15	Ad. Demirspor	5	2	1	2	+3	7
16	Antalyaspor	6	2	1	3	-1	7
17	Yeni Malatyaspor	6	2	0	4	-5	6
18	Giresunspor	5	1	2	2	-1	5
19	Rizespor	5	1	1	3	-3	4
20	Goztep	5	1	0	4	-4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	6	5	1	0	+8	16
2	Alanyaspor	6	3	2	1	-2	11
3	Hatayspor	5	3	1	1	+5	10
4	Fenerbahce	6	3	0	3	-1	9
5	Galatasaray	6	2	2	2	-1	8
6	Karagumruk	5	2	1	2	-3	7
7	Konyaspor	5	1	3	1	+0	6
8	Altay	5	2	0	3	-2	6
9	Ad. Demirspor	5	1	3	1	-3	6
10	Yeni Malatyaspor	5	2	0	3	-3	6
11	Goztep	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Sivasspor	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Besiktas	5	1	1	3	-2	4
14	Giresunspor	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Kayserispor	6	1	1	4	-8	4
16	Buyuksehyr	5	1	0	4	-4	3
17	Antalyaspor	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Kasimpasa	5	0	1	4	-6	1
19	Gaziantep	5	0	1	4	-8	1
20	Rizespor	6	0	0	6	-12	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.