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Süper Lig
Referee: T Doman
Antalyaspor
T U S U U
2–1
Full-time
Sivasspor
S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antalyaspor Sivasspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,3
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 31%
33%
29%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
33%
48%
Both score Ø 60%
52%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,22 xG 1,26
66% Possession 34%
25 Shots 9
12 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 9
8 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Antalyaspor 7. · Sivasspor 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 21 17 3 1 +41 +39.0 54
2 Galatasaray 21 17 3 1 +31 +26.9 54
3 Trabzonspor 21 11 4 6 +9 -1.5 37
4 Besiktas 22 11 3 8 +3 +9.3 36
5 Rizespor 21 9 5 7 -3 -3.8 32
6 Ad. Demirspor 22 7 10 5 +8 -2.2 31
7 Antalyaspor 21 7 9 5 +5 +1.9 30
8 Kayserispor 21 8 5 8 -3 -6.2 29
9 Kasimpasa 22 8 5 9 -5 -8.5 29
10 Ankaragücü 22 6 10 6 +3 -1.7 28
11 Buyuksehyr 21 7 6 8 +1 -1.8 27
12 Sivasspor 21 6 8 7 -7 -3.7 26
13 Alanyaspor 22 6 8 8 -7 +3.3 26
14 Gaziantep 22 6 5 11 -8 -8.2 23
15 Hatayspor 22 4 10 8 -4 +0.5 22
16 Samsunspor 21 6 4 11 -8 +2.4 22
17 Pendikspor 22 5 7 10 -17 -7.4 22
18 Karagumruk 22 5 6 11 -3 -11.7 21
19 Konyaspor 22 4 9 9 -13 -11.9 21
20 İstanbulspor 21 3 4 14 -23 -14.6 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,73
U
3,61
B
4,81
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,06
U2,5
1,75
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Doman · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.