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Süper Lig

Referee: M Metoğlu

Ankaragücü

U T U S U

2–0

Full-time

Karagumruk

T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ankaragücü Karagumruk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

1,8

2,5

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 24%

24%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

38%

43%

Both score Ø 55%

67%

43%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

1,3

1,1

Conceded

1,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,86 xG 0,44

40% Possession 60%

8 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 9

14 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ankaragücü 13. · Karagumruk 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	21	17	3	1	+41	+39.0	54
2	Galatasaray	21	17	3	1	+31	+26.9	54
3	Trabzonspor	21	11	4	6	+9	-1.5	37
4	Besiktas	22	11	3	8	+3	+9.3	36
5	Rizespor	21	9	5	7	-3	-3.8	32
6	Ad. Demirspor	22	7	10	5	+8	-2.2	31
7	Antalyaspor	21	7	9	5	+5	+1.9	30
8	Kayserispor	21	8	5	8	-3	-6.2	29
9	Kasimpasa	22	8	5	9	-5	-8.5	29
10	Buyuksehyr	21	7	6	8	+1	-1.8	27
11	Sivasspor	21	6	8	7	-7	-3.7	26
12	Alanyaspor	22	6	8	8	-7	+3.3	26
13	Ankaragücü	21	5	10	6	+1	-3.1	25
14	Hatayspor	22	4	10	8	-4	+0.5	22
15	Gaziantep	21	6	4	11	-8	-8.3	22
16	Samsunspor	21	6	4	11	-8	+2.4	22
17	Pendikspor	22	5	7	10	-17	-7.4	22
18	Karagumruk	21	5	6	10	-1	-10.3	21
19	Konyaspor	21	4	8	9	-13	-11.8	20
20	İstanbulspor	21	3	4	14	-23	-14.6	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	10	10	0	0	+18	+18.2	30
2	Fenerbahce	11	8	2	1	+22	+22.1	26
3	Ad. Demirspor	11	7	3	1	+14	+4.2	24
4	Rizespor	11	7	2	2	+6	+4.5	23
5	Besiktas	11	6	2	3	+5	+6.2	20
6	Trabzonspor	10	6	1	3	+2	+1.2	19
7	Kayserispor	11	5	3	3	+4	+1.9	18
8	Antalyaspor	11	4	6	1	+3	+0.6	18
9	Buyuksehyr	10	5	2	3	+5	-0.2	17
10	Samsunspor	10	5	2	3	+3	+3.7	17
11	Kasimpasa	11	5	2	4	-1	-4.6	17
12	Karagumruk	11	4	4	3	+6	-2.6	16
13	Alanyaspor	11	4	4	3	+1	+3.4	16
14	Hatayspor	11	3	6	2	+2	-0.5	15
15	Ankaragücü	11	3	5	3	+1	+2.1	14
16	Konyaspor	10	3	3	4	+1	+0.3	12
17	Pendikspor	11	3	3	5	-7	-6.1	12
18	Gaziantep	10	3	2	5	-4	-6.1	11
19	Sivasspor	10	1	7	2	-2	+2.4	10
20	İstanbulspor	11	2	2	7	-12	-10.1	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	10	9	1	0	+19	+16.9	28
2	Galatasaray	11	7	3	1	+13	+8.7	24
3	Trabzonspor	11	5	3	3	+7	-2.7	18
4	Besiktas	11	5	1	5	-2	+3.1	16
5	Sivasspor	11	5	1	5	-5	-6.1	16
6	Antalyaspor	10	3	3	4	+2	+1.4	12
7	Kasimpasa	11	3	3	5	-4	-3.9	12
8	Ankaragücü	10	2	5	3	+0	-5.2	11
9	Gaziantep	11	3	2	6	-4	-2.3	11
10	Kayserispor	10	3	2	5	-7	-8.1	11
11	Buyuksehyr	11	2	4	5	-4	-1.6	10
12	Alanyaspor	11	2	4	5	-8	-0.2	10
13	Pendikspor	11	2	4	5	-10	-1.3	10
14	Rizespor	10	2	3	5	-9	-8.3	9
15	Konyaspor	11	1	5	5	-14	-12.1	8
16	Ad. Demirspor	11	0	7	4	-6	-6.4	7
17	Hatayspor	11	1	4	6	-6	+1.0	7
18	Karagumruk	10	1	2	7	-7	-7.7	5
19	Samsunspor	11	1	2	8	-11	-1.2	5
20	İstanbulspor	10	1	2	7	-11	-4.6	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.