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Süper Lig

Referee: M Güzenge

Ad. Demirspor

U U T U U

0–1

Full-time

Hatayspor

T U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ad. Demirspor Hatayspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,7

2,0

Scored

0,8

0,5

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 25%

32%

18%

Points per game

1,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

55%

Both score Ø 59%

59%

Average goals

2,7

2,6

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,02 xG 0,20

62% Possession 38%

13 Shots 3

0 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

5 Corners 3

4 Offside 4

12 Free kicks against 24

5 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ad. Demirspor 7. · Hatayspor 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	22	18	3	1	+42	+41.9	57
2	Galatasaray	22	18	3	1	+33	+28.8	57
3	Trabzonspor	22	11	4	7	+8	-2.2	37
4	Besiktas	22	11	3	8	+3	+9.3	36
5	Rizespor	22	10	5	7	-2	-3.1	35
6	Antalyaspor	22	8	9	5	+6	+2.9	33
7	Ad. Demirspor	22	7	10	5	+8	-2.2	31
8	Kasimpasa	22	8	5	9	-5	-8.5	29
9	Kayserispor	22	8	5	9	-5	-6.6	29
10	Ankaragücü	22	6	10	6	+3	-1.7	28
11	Buyuksehyr	22	7	6	9	+0	-4.7	27
12	Alanyaspor	23	6	9	8	-7	+3.9	27
13	Sivasspor	22	6	8	8	-8	-4.6	26
14	Samsunspor	22	7	4	11	-6	+2.8	25
15	Gaziantep	22	6	5	11	-8	-8.2	23
16	Pendikspor	23	5	8	10	-17	-8.1	23
17	Hatayspor	22	4	10	8	-4	+0.5	22
18	Karagumruk	22	5	6	11	-3	-11.7	21
19	Konyaspor	22	4	9	9	-13	-11.9	21
20	İstanbulspor	22	3	4	15	-25	-16.5	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	11	11	0	0	+20	+20.1	33
2	Fenerbahce	11	8	2	1	+22	+22.1	26
3	Rizespor	12	8	2	2	+7	+5.2	26
4	Ad. Demirspor	11	7	3	1	+14	+4.2	24
5	Antalyaspor	12	5	6	1	+4	+1.5	21
6	Besiktas	11	6	2	3	+5	+6.2	20
7	Samsunspor	11	6	2	3	+5	+4.0	20
8	Trabzonspor	10	6	1	3	+2	+1.2	19
9	Kayserispor	11	5	3	3	+4	+1.9	18
10	Buyuksehyr	11	5	2	4	+4	-3.1	17
11	Ankaragücü	12	4	5	3	+3	+3.5	17
12	Alanyaspor	12	4	5	3	+1	+4.1	17
13	Kasimpasa	11	5	2	4	-1	-4.6	17
14	Karagumruk	11	4	4	3	+6	-2.6	16
15	Hatayspor	11	3	6	2	+2	-0.5	15
16	Konyaspor	10	3	3	4	+1	+0.3	12
17	Gaziantep	11	3	3	5	-4	-5.9	12
18	Pendikspor	11	3	3	5	-7	-6.1	12
19	Sivasspor	10	1	7	2	-2	+2.4	10
20	İstanbulspor	11	2	2	7	-12	-10.1	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	11	10	1	0	+20	+19.8	31
2	Galatasaray	11	7	3	1	+13	+8.7	24
3	Trabzonspor	12	5	3	4	+6	-3.4	18
4	Besiktas	11	5	1	5	-2	+3.1	16
5	Sivasspor	12	5	1	6	-6	-7.1	16
6	Antalyaspor	10	3	3	4	+2	+1.4	12
7	Kasimpasa	11	3	3	5	-4	-3.9	12
8	Ankaragücü	10	2	5	3	+0	-5.2	11
9	Gaziantep	11	3	2	6	-4	-2.3	11
10	Kayserispor	11	3	2	6	-9	-8.4	11
11	Pendikspor	12	2	5	5	-10	-2.0	11
12	Buyuksehyr	11	2	4	5	-4	-1.6	10
13	Alanyaspor	11	2	4	5	-8	-0.2	10
14	Rizespor	10	2	3	5	-9	-8.3	9
15	Konyaspor	12	1	6	5	-14	-12.2	9
16	Ad. Demirspor	11	0	7	4	-6	-6.4	7
17	Hatayspor	11	1	4	6	-6	+1.0	7
18	Karagumruk	11	1	2	8	-9	-9.1	5
19	Samsunspor	11	1	2	8	-11	-1.2	5
20	İstanbulspor	11	1	2	8	-13	-6.5	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.