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Süper Lig

Referee: S Saka

Hatayspor

T T S U U

3–3

Full-time

Ad. Demirspor

S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hatayspor Ad. Demirspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

0,8

2,0

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 3/2 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

0,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,40 xG 1,71

34% Possession 66%

11 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 7

1 Offside 5

19 Free kicks against 10

6 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hatayspor 9. · Ad. Demirspor 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Konyaspor	4	2	2	0	+3	+1.4	8
2	Galatasaray	3	2	1	0	+5	+4.1	7
3	Besiktas	3	2	1	0	+3	+3.3	7
4	Rizespor	4	2	1	1	+1	+0.4	7
5	Fenerbahce	2	2	0	0	+3	+5.0	6
6	Trabzonspor	4	2	0	2	+2	-1.7	6
7	Alanyaspor	4	1	3	0	+2	+1.6	6
8	Kayserispor	4	1	3	0	+1	-1.5	6
9	Hatayspor	3	1	2	0	+4	+0.7	5
10	Sivasspor	4	1	2	1	+0	-1.0	5
11	Kasimpasa	4	1	2	1	-3	+0.8	5
12	Ad. Demirspor	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	4
13	Karagumruk	4	1	1	2	+0	-3.2	4
14	Antalyaspor	4	0	3	1	-1	+0.3	3
15	Pendikspor	4	0	3	1	-4	-2.8	3
16	İstanbulspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.5	2
17	Ankaragücü	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.0	2
18	Samsunspor	3	0	1	2	-3	-0.8	1
19	Buyuksehyr	3	0	0	3	-5	-0.2	0
20	Gaziantep	4	0	0	4	-8	-6.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Konyaspor	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.3	4
2	Besiktas	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.6	4
3	Alanyaspor	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.8	4
4	Kayserispor	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.6	4
5	Rizespor	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.5	4
6	Kasimpasa	3	1	1	1	-3	+0.6	4
7	Galatasaray	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.3	3
8	Fenerbahce	1	1	0	0	+1	+3.8	3
9	Ad. Demirspor	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
10	Trabzonspor	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.8	3
11	Antalyaspor	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.0	2
12	Sivasspor	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.1	2
13	İstanbulspor	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
14	Ankaragücü	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
15	Hatayspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
16	Karagumruk	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.8	1
17	Pendikspor	2	0	1	1	-4	-2.6	1
18	Samsunspor	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.3	0
19	Buyuksehyr	2	0	0	2	-3	+0.1	0
20	Gaziantep	2	0	0	2	-5	-1.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hatayspor	2	1	1	0	+4	+0.9	4
2	Galatasaray	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.9	4
3	Konyaspor	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.1	4
4	Trabzonspor	2	1	0	1	+2	-2.4	3
5	Fenerbahce	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.3	3
6	Karagumruk	2	1	0	1	+1	-1.4	3
7	Besiktas	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.7	3
8	Rizespor	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.0	3
9	Sivasspor	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.0	3
10	Kayserispor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.9	2
11	Pendikspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.2	2
12	Alanyaspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.2	2
13	İstanbulspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
14	Ad. Demirspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
15	Kasimpasa	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
16	Ankaragücü	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.4	1
17	Samsunspor	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.5	1
18	Antalyaspor	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.6	1
19	Buyuksehyr	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.4	0
20	Gaziantep	2	0	0	2	-3	-4.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.