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Süper Lig
Referee: Z Küçük
Trabzonspor
U T S T S
4–0
Full-time
Sivasspor
T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Trabzonspor Sivasspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,0
Scored
2,2
0,7
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 28%
28%
28%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
61%
56%
Both score Ø 59%
61%
56%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

3,06 xG 0,84
53% Possession 47%
14 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 4
20 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Trabzonspor 10. · Sivasspor 15. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 19 16 3 0 +30 +20.0 51
2 Fenerbahce 19 14 3 2 +31 +24.8 45
3 Samsunspor 19 11 4 4 +14 +9.6 37
4 Goztep 19 10 4 5 +15 +11.0 34
5 Eyüpspor 19 9 6 4 +13 +1.2 33
6 Besiktas 19 8 7 4 +8 +7.7 31
7 Buyuksehyr 19 8 5 6 +6 +7.5 29
8 Gaziantep 19 7 5 7 -1 -4.5 26
9 Rizespor 19 7 3 9 -10 +5.4 24
10 Trabzonspor 18 5 7 6 +6 -2.8 22
11 Alanyaspor 19 5 7 7 -5 -1.2 22
12 Kasimpasa 19 4 10 5 -6 -4.1 22
13 Konyaspor 19 5 6 8 -7 -6.5 21
14 Antalyaspor 19 6 3 10 -17 -14.9 21
15 Sivasspor 18 5 5 8 -7 -12.9 20
16 Bodrumspor 19 4 4 11 -11 -4.8 16
17 Kayserispor 18 3 7 8 -17 -7.1 16
18 Hatayspor 19 1 7 11 -15 -13.2 10
19 Ad. Demirspor 19 2 2 15 -27 -15.1 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Trabzonspor Sivasspor
4′
🟨 Uroš Radaković
1–0 A. Batahov ⚽
O. Tufan
6′
2–0 S. Banza ⚽
B. Mendy
13′
29′
🟨 Bengali-Fodé Koita
3–0 O. Tufan ⚽
E. Višća
31′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 T. Ciğerci
↦ A. Pritchard
Simon Banza ❌
penalty missed
49′
S. Savić 🔁
↦ U. Güneş
67′
E. Destan 🔁
↦ S. Banza
67′
67′
🔁 E. Başsan
↦ Garry Rodrigues
67′
🔁 Q. Menig
↦ F. Koita
B. Barišić 🔁
↦ E. Elmalı
75′
C. Çanak 🔁
↦ O. Tufan
75′
4–0 J. Lundstram ⚽
A. Nwakaeme
86′
P. Yıldırım 🔁
↦ A. Nwakaeme
88′
89′
🔁 O. Aksoy
↦ S. Moutoussamy
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Trabzonspor

4-2-3-1
1 U. Çakır G
79 Pedro Malheiro D
5 J. Lundstram D
44 A. Batahov D
18 E. Elmalı D
6 B. Mendy M
23 U. Güneş M
7 E. Višća M
11 O. Tufan M
9 A. Nwakaeme M
17 S. Banza F
Bench (10)
15 S. Savić
94 E. Destan
3 B. Barišić
61 C. Çanak
90 P. Yıldırım
20 S. Asan
10 M. Cham
29 S. Saatçı
4 H. Türkmen
54 T. Tepe

Coach: Ş. Güneş

Sivasspor

4-2-3-1
13 Đ. Nikolić G
7 M. Paluli D
26 U. Radaković D
27 N. Sonko Sundberg D
3 U. Çiftçi D
12 S. Moutoussamy M
8 C. Charisis M
55 F. Koita M
10 A. Pritchard M
24 Garry Rodrigues M
9 R. Manaj F
Bench (10)
30 T. Ciğerci
17 E. Başsan
11 Q. Menig
25 O. Aksoy
35 A. Vural
53 E. Başyiğit
90 A. Turgunboev
44 A. Poungouras
58 Z. Erdal
46 T. Böke

Coach: Ö. Erdoğan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,49
U
4,52
B
5,77
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,56
U2,5
2,35
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

Z Küçük · 92 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.